System Todd reddit

In practice, the dominant family system today across the West, Latin America, Eastern Europe, and East Asia is now just the nuclear family. That said, it's worth mentioning that a major exception is the Islamic world, where the endogamous family remains very resilient, even in wealthy Arab nations like Kuwait or Saudi Arabia. PINE BLUFF, Ark. – A casual conversation at a grocery store in DeWitt, Arkansas, led to a racist rant between now resigned Arkansas County Sheriff Todd Wright and the mother of his child ... Douglas Todd: More rigorous study needed on ‘systemic racism’ in Canada's justice system Britain, Australia and the U.S. are far ahead of Canada in providing meaningful analysis of how crime ... THE SYSTEM is a groundbreaking, comprehensive men's dating education course designed by Todd V. to teach his complete system for meeting, attracting, seducing and dating the quality women you truly desire. HOW LONG IS THE SYSTEM? THE SYSTEM is currently comprised of 14+ hours of recorded content including over 8 hours of infield video breakdowns. Todd Engel Conviction is Vacated. by Shari Dovale. The conviction of Todd Engel has been vacated by the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. They have remanded Engel back to Nevada for a new trial, or to be released. This case is very complicated, but it is extremely important and everyone should be aware of the background and further ramifications. Todd attended an international school in Geneva, Switzerland and is a 1981 graduate of Vassar College, where he ran cross-country. He was a clergy student at Yale Divinity School at the time of his disappearance, and had passed the first round of qualifying exams for Presbyterian ordination. There were, however, some problems in Todd's life ... The subreddits themselves seem to follow a quota system that allocates certain subreddits to specific slots on pages one and two, and also prevents the front page from devolving entirely into animal gifs. As a final kicker, in case it wasn’t completely obvious, I learned that links on the front pages of reddit receive a lot of traffic! I recently finished the above-titled book by Frans Bosch . It's one of those books where you do a lot of underlining. It's also one of the best books on movement I’ve read in a while so I decided to write a review and (rather lengthy) summary of the some of the ideas I found interesting. Home of the New York Mets on reddit. Press J to jump to the feed. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Log in sign up. User account menu. 24 [Shitpost] Brodie Van Wagenen trading the entire farm system for Todd Frazier while five games under .500. Close. 24. Posted by. Cap. 2 hours ago [Shitpost] Brodie Van Wagenen ... There's a reason I named my podcast The Todd V Show and NOT the Todd V DATING Show. Although dating and relationships are obviously a major focus of the podcast, I also want to address some of the most pressing issues that men deal with in the year 2020.

Spread the Word

2011.08.19 11:30 SpreadtheWord81 Spread the Word


2020.09.26 23:55 B35Patriot B35's Modder Interviews- A Written Interview with tktk1 of TK Dodge and Ultimate Combat

Hello everybody, this is B35Patriot and this is B35's Modder Interviews, a series of written interviews I am doing with various modders from the community! Today, we have the one and only tktk1, creator of Ultimate Combat, TK Dodge, Quick Light, and Enhanced Character Edit. He's made plenty of mods, and many are held in importance by players across the globe, both in the USA and Japan. Today, we'll be talking with him about his modding career, and his thoughts on Skyrim and the Elder Scrolls.
Anyway, let's get into the interview!
Q: When did you first begin playing the Elder Scrolls and/or Skyrim?
A: In 2011, I was feeling cramped playing a Japanese game with a lot of branching stories. I was looking for something with a more free atmosphere and adventure.
That's how I found Assassin's Creed and Oblivion. After playing through a lot of Oblivion, I was in the middle of playing Morrowind when Skyrim was released.
Q: What first got you into the modding scene?
A: Shortly after Skyrim came out, a certain texture mod was popular, but I was bothered by the fact that the source of the mod was unknown. So I'd try drawing textures myself.
I've played with replacing textures in other games before, but this was the first time I'd ever tried to draw a texture in earnest.
Q: What was the first mod that you made or contributed in?
A: The vanilla head mesh is asymmetrical and I particularly bothered about the left eyelid, so I fixed that. It was an anonymous work. RAN was working on the same thing at the time, which later led to the Enhanced Character Edit collaboration.
Q: As a modder, you've made a lot of different mods, from TK Dodge to Quick Light. What do you think is your favorite mod out of all you have made, and why?
A: That's a difficult question because I love them all.
As a modder, it's Ultimate Combat. It took years of trial and error to do something that no one had done yet, which was to use enemy AI-added attack animations. Figuring out the mechanics was like a puzzle. I got a lot of people to help us.
As a user, I like Quick Light because it's so simple.
Q: You are most well known for your combat mods overall such as Ultimate Combat and Ultimate Dragons. What inspired you to make them, and can you walk us through the process of how you designed and implemented them?
A: I think the most famous one is the Enhanced Character Edit :p
The reason for the creation of the Ultimate series is that Skyrim's combat is monotonous. But I think that's also because Skyrim is more about experiencing and exploring the world, and it's all about playability.
If it was a game that required hard action like Dark Souls, we wouldn't be able to explore at will and many players would drop out.
So I don't emphasize making the combat difficult. I'm focusing on improving the monotonous elements of the game while further increasing its playability.
The reason why monotonous because you're just fighting in standing there, and the more powerful character is supposed to win. This isn't challenging enough.
The key elements of the action game are positioning and timing. There's very little change in position in Vanilla, so I've added movement attacks and dodges to change the position and timing. Speed bonus, timed blocking and poise system are also additions that change timing and positioning.
Q: Are you doing any new modding work currently? If so, what are you working on?
A: I'm working on fixing a bug in an existing mod. So I'm not working on anything new. However, I want to make a more unique and challenging boss mod. For example, bosses like the red eagle to have an original look and animations without using a generic Draugr.
Q: Looking back on all of your mods as a whole, how satisfied are you with how they have turned out?
A: I'm very happy to have so many users, supporters, friends, and teachers who have been kind to me. I'm grateful for that. There's still a lot of work to be done to improve it.
Q: Now for some closing questions to begin to end this interview. What would you say is your favorite game excluding Skyrim?
A: I recently play Townscaper, which is more of a toy than a game, but it's fun. It's kind of soothing.
I love indie games like Factorio and Terraria that use endless amounts of time. But it's a problem when I play so much that I can't be modding or do anything else. I also like beautiful games like GRIS, Monument Valley, and INSIDE.
Also, I played Kirby Super Start like crazy. It's easy to lose your save data.
Q: What is your favorite mod, outside of any of your own or ones you contributed to?
A: AddItemMenu is the best mod. I'm a bit involved in it, so is this answer a violation?
I like simple mods and I like Armor Rating Rescaled. It just changes the formula a bit, but the effect is great.
Q: Join the Dawnguard to hunt the vampire menace, or follow the Volkihar Clan into night eternal?
A: I join the Dawnguard. Because the armor is cool!
Q: Stand with the Sons of Skyrim and fight with the Stormcloaks, or bring an end to the "Age of Aggression" with the Imperial Legion?
A: Maybe Stormcloaks because the armor is so cool. No, that's another tough question.
Both sides of the story are right. Whichever I join it, it's what Thalmor wants. It's better to set up a third force and play a coordinating role of politics.
Whether stand by Ulfric or not, he is an interesting character because as a matter of fact he's not confident.
Q: If Todd Howard handed you access to Skyrim and Bethesda's resources and allowed you to change or add one thing to Skyrim, what would it be?
A: The Japanese version and the international version have different executables, so we need to download both to play with the mods. I'd like to have them both to be common. It's a bother.
Q: Thanks for doing this interview tktk1, it was great to have you on! Any final things to say before we end this interview?
A: Wash your hands, first. Take care of your health. That's important right now.
I was sad to see Fore, the author of FNIS, retired. But I have good memories of my interactions with him.
I think it's more fun when someone is passionate about creating, and there's a lot of people involved and support in places you can't see, and there's a story to tell, and if people can feel that part of it. It's made by a human being.
I think this interview is a great opportunity to know that. Thank you.
That's all for today, and thanks to tktk1 for the time he took to work with me on this interview. Stay tuned for more modding interviews in the future, as I will have plenty more coming up. And, if you are a mod author who wants to be interviewed, please message me on Reddit, or on the Nexus under "B35Patriot" if you wish to work something out. As well, you can contact me on Discord here, if anyone wants to ask me questions, request an interview, or just hang out and talk through this link:
tktk1's Modding Page:
tktk1's Patreon:
tktk1's Ko-fi:
My Previous Interviews- Martimius (Serana Dialogue Add-On):
Kris Takahashi (Interesting NPCs):
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2020.09.26 19:41 DramaticPatience0 [HIRING] 31 Jobs in Indianapolis Hiring Now!

Company Name Title City
Stefanini Deskside Technician Greenfield May Need To Go To Indianapolis
Interstate Trailer - Indianapolis Outside Sales - Commercial Trailer Parts Indianapolis
Beacon Hill Technologies Project Manager Indianapolis
Wise Financial Northwestern Mutual Financial Planner 46250 Indianapolis
Onebridge Solution Architect Greater Indianapolis
Shelbyville Community Church Pastor of Student Ministries Greater Indianapolis
Spherion Staffing Central and Northeast Indiana Seasonal Recruiter Greater Indianapolis
Herron High School French Teacher (temporary) Greater Indianapolis
Team Rehabilitation Physical Therapy Clinic Director Greater Indianapolis
The Connor Group Director of Debt and Structured Finance (Located in Dayton, OH.) Greater Indianapolis
Onebridge Snowflake Data Architect Greater Indianapolis
Onebridge D3js JavaScript Engineer Greater Indianapolis
Medasource Healthcare Recruiter - Indianapolis Greater Indianapolis
Baumgartner & Company Asphalt Services Sales Estimator Greater Indianapolis
Self Employed Ceo Greater Indianapolis
Heartland Payment Systems Senior Sales Executive (Inside/Outside Sales) (Hunter Role) Greater Indianapolis
Preferred Home Health Care Inc Home Health Nurse RN Indianapolis
CBRE, Inc. Mobile Technician Indianapolis
Options Behavioral Health Human Resources Generalist Indianapolis
Eurofins Biochemist Indianapolis
Nurses and More Registered Nurse or Licensed Practical Nurse for Home Care Indianapolis
The Health and Hospital corporation of Marion County LICENSED CLINICIAN- Adult Outpatient Indianapolis
BeCollectiv Front End Web Developer Indianapolis
Latitude Litigation Attorney Indianapolis
Delta Faucet Company Talent Acquisition Manager Indianapolis
AppleOne Part Time Paralegal Family Law - Indianapolis
Eurofins Analytical Scientist - Night Shift Indianapolis
MSC Industrial Supply Co., Inc. Key Account Sales Consultant Indianapolis
N/a Inventory Associate Indianapolis
Frost Brown Todd LLC Business Development Manager Indianapolis- Indiana- United States
United Consulting Construction Superintendent Indianapolis- Indiana- United States
Hey guys, here are some recent job openings in indianapolis. Feel free to comment here or send me a private message if you have any questions, I'm at the community's disposal! If you encounter any problems with any of these job openings please let me know that I will modify the table accordingly. Thanks!
submitted by DramaticPatience0 to indianajobs [link] [comments]

2020.09.25 16:40 KATheHuman Fallout 76 Interview (Steel Dawn, Next Gen, 2021 content, etc.)

Interview Link:

Steel Dawn:

Daily Ops/Legendary Perks:

Fallout's 76 Future:
submitted by KATheHuman to fo76 [link] [comments]

2020.09.24 23:18 semirmirse Request and get the textbook you need, with Bokitba (from $0 to $30)

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2020.09.23 21:27 mr_tyler_durden Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 23, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update September 23, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Register for your Absentee Ballot here!
Watch here:
Full Notes
Good afternoon Kentucky. We're going to start today by several of us making comments on the announcement today from the grand jury and from the Attorney General on the Breonna Taylor investigation. And then after those comments and any questions I'm going to provide a brief COVID report. As Governor, you can do a lot of things and some people think you can do just about anything. But as Governor I cannot control decisions made by an attorney general's office, I cannot control decisions made by a grand jury, and I don't lead local law enforcement offices. But what I can control is how I lead, what I say, what I am committed to doing. I start with the humility and acknowledgement, that I will never feel the weight of 400 years of slavery, segregation, and Jim Crow. I will never personally feel that weight but I can listen. And I can try to hear. And I can be clear: That systematic racism exists in this world, in this country, and in our Commonwealth. It exists in unequal access to health care, in disproportionate incarceration rates, and it impacts everything: from wealth, earnings, education, even how long we live on this earth. My faith teaches me that injustices and inequalities must be addressed. The world that God calls on us to build is one without racism. One without oppression. One without violence. Since the start of my administration we have worked to combat some of these inequalities. We've restored voting rights, we've protected and expanded health care, and we have built an inclusive team. But as I listen, and as I try to hear, I know that there is so much more work to be done. There are hundreds of years of pain to be addressed. And my job is to continue to listen, to try to hear, and to do everything I can to build the type of world that I think everybody's kids deserve; one where we live up to our true values, one where we live up to our faith, one where we try to make a dream talked about many decades ago, closer to reality.
(continued in stickied comment)
submitted by mr_tyler_durden to Coronavirus_KY [link] [comments]

2020.09.23 19:34 DramaticPatience0 [HIRING] 27 Jobs in Columbus Hiring Now!

Company Name Title City
Tetra Tech Tetra Tech: Geotechnical Engineer Columbus
Laboratory Certification Services Laboratory Certification Services: Bookkeeper Columbus
Pearson Pearson: Digital Content Producer - It Professional Columbus
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center: Rnfa Lead Columbus
Schneider Electric Account Executive- Building Automation Systems Columbus
American Red Cross Registered Nurse Columbus
Ohio State University Report and Analytics Analyst 2 Columbus
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center: Staff Nurse-B Columbus
Family First Life Family First Life: Independent Insurance Agent Columbus
Green Key Resources Security Architect - Direct Hire Columbus
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Marketing Personalization-Digital Testing, Sr Associate Columbus
Family First Life Family First Life: Insurance Agent Columbus
K12 K12: 3-5 Elementary Teacher, Sy 20/21, Ohva Columbus
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center: Clinical Nurse Anesthetist Columbus
Mountain Ridge Center - Genesis HealthCare Mountain Ridge Center - Genesis HealthCare: Licensed Practical Nurse (Full Time) Columbus
Concentra Medical Assistant Part Time Temporary Columbus
Soothe Soothe: Licensed Massage Therapist Columbus
Birchwood Foods Quality Assurance Line Technicians Columbus
Veeva Systems Veeva Systems: Senior It Project Manager Columbus
Holland Freight Holland Freight: Local Cdl A Truck Driver - Earn Up To $60k/Yr - Home Daily Columbus
Raising Cane's Closing Shift, HIGHER PAY! Crewmember: Cashier, Kitchen, Customer Service Columbus - Osu Campus
SmartIT Frame Tableau Admin with Alteryx Columbus- Oh
Comtech Global z/OS Senior Systems Programmer Columbus- Oh
Frost Brown Todd LLC Business Development Manager Columbus- Ohio- United States
The Luxottica Group Oakley - Assistant Store Manager - Easton Town Center East Columbus
National Church Residences Registered Nurse Hilliard Columbus
Columbus Healthcare Center Registered Nurse North Columbus
Hey guys, here are some recent job openings in columbus. Feel free to comment here or send me a private message if you have any questions, I'm at the community's disposal! If you encounter any problems with any of these job openings please let me know that I will modify the table accordingly. Thanks!
submitted by DramaticPatience0 to ColumbusJobsForAll [link] [comments]

2020.09.22 17:08 DramaticPatience0 [HIRING] 19 Jobs in Indianapolis Hiring Now!

Company Name Title City
Knight Transportation Truck Driver Jobs Indianapolis IN Regional Refrigerated Indianapolis
BAYADA Home Health Care Licensed Practical Nurse (LPN) - Adult & Pediatric Home Care Indianapolis
Cross Country Allied Lab - Medical Technologist Indianapolis
Indiana University Health IU Health Physicians - Cardiothoracic and Thoracic Transplant Surgeon (Greater Indianapolis Area) Indianapolis
FedEx Cross Border PART-TIME MATERIAL HANDLEWAREHOUSE-NIGHT SHIFT -$19.12; BETWEEN 10:00pm -6:00am Indianapolis
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Strategic Account Manager- Indianapolis (712-470) Indianapolis
Sharpedge Solutions Sr Pega DevelopeArchitect Indianapolis- In
Stefanini Deskside Technician Greenfield May Need To Go To Indianapolis
Aimbridge Hospitality Front Desk Agent Indianapolis
Pear Tree Inn Indianapolis Maintenance Technician II Indianapolis
Dmi Sr. Software Engineer - Java/JavaScript Indianapolis
The Judge Group, Inc. Release Train Engineer Indianapolis
Apex Systems Scrum Master Indianapolis
Pitney Bowes Inc. Non CDL Truck Driver ($1,000 Sign On Bonus) Indianapolis
Brookdale Senior Living Registered Nurse Indianapolis
Jobot Mechanical Engineer Indianapolis
Outdoor Environments Group Llc Pool Service Supervisor Indianapolis- Indiana- United States
Frost Brown Todd LLC Business Development Manager Indianapolis- Indiana- United States
Outdoor Environments Group Llc 0000 Indianapolis- Indiana- United States
Hey guys, here are some recent job openings in indianapolis. Feel free to comment here or send me a private message if you have any questions, I'm at the community's disposal! If you encounter any problems with any of these job openings please let me know that I will modify the table accordingly. Thanks!
submitted by DramaticPatience0 to indianajobs [link] [comments]

2020.09.22 16:47 DJagerty Fixing the Phillies - A Look at 2021

After the bullpen blew a 6-3 lead that ultimately resulted in a 10-6 loss to the Mets the other day, I was in dark place and felt hopelessness towards this organization. So the following morning rather than work, I decided to fix the team.
This post is meant to be an open discussion so feel free weigh in with thoughts. I plan on sending this directly to John Middleton afterwards - please keep this in mind before commenting.

Active Roster

Position Player Status 2021 Salary Notes
C JT Realmuto FA Made $10M in 2020
1B Rhys Hoskins Arb 1 4,000,000 Estimated, first time arb eligible
2B Jean Segura Vet 14,000,000
3B Alec Bohm Pre-Arb 600,000
RF Bryce Harper Vet 25,384,615
CF Adam Haseley Pre-Arb 600,000
LF Andrew McCutchen Vet 16,666,667
Bench Scott Kingery Pre-Arb 4,250,000
Bench Andrew Knapp Arb 2 1,000,000 Estimated, made $700k in 2020
Bench Roman Quinn Pre-Arb 600,000
Bench Phil Gosselin Pre-Arb 600,000
SP Zack Wheeler Vet 23,600,000
SP Aaron Nola Vet 11,250,000
SP Zach Eflin Arb 2 5,000,000 Estimated, made $2.6M in 2020
SP Spencer Howard Pre-Arb 600,000
RHP Hector Neris Club Option 4,600,000
RHP Vince Velasquez Arb 3 4,000,000 Estimated, made $3.6M in 2020
RHP David Phelps Club Option 1,500,000
RHP Seranthony Dominguez Pre-Arb 600,000
LHP Adam Morgan Arb 3 1,500,000 Estimated, made $1.5M in 2020
LHP Jojo Romero Pre-Arb 600,000
Other Odubel Herrera fml 6,100,000
Other Draft Picks' Signing Bonus 6,000,000 Estimated; ~5.2M in 2020
133,051,282 Total Payroll
210,000,000 Estimated Luxury Tax Threshold
(76,948,718) Ove(Under) Luxury Tax Cap

Other Guys in the System

Position Player Status 2021 Salary Notes
RHP Victor Arano Pre-Arb 600,000
LHP Cole Irvin Pre-Arb 600,000
LHP Ranger Suarez Pre-Arb 600,000
RHP Ramon Russo AAA 600,000
RHP Connor Brogdon AAA 600,000
RHP JD Hammer AAA 600,000
RHP Enyel De Los Santos AAA 600,000
SP Adonis Medina AAA 600,000
SP Damon Jones AA 600,000
OF Mickey Moniak AAA 600,000
C Rafael Marchan AAA 600,000
SS Bryson Stott AA 600,000

Off the Books in 2021

Position Player 2020 Salary Notes
SP Jake Arrieta 20,000,000
SP Nick Pivetta 600,000
RHP David Robertson 12,000,000
RHP Brandon Workman 3,500,000
RHP Heath Hembree 1,600,000
RHP Juan Nicasio 1,000,000 Still paying him I guess
RHP David Hale 600,000
LHP Austin Davis 600,000
SS Didi Gregorius 14,000,000
OF Jay Bruce 3,000,000
OF Kyle Garlick 600,000
Utility Brad Miller 2,000,000 Still paying him I guess
Utility Neil Walker 600,000
60,100,000 Cash Freed Up

2021 Notable Free Agents

Position Player 2020 Salary
DH Nelson Cruz 12,000,000
1B/DH Yuli Gurriel 8,700,000
2B D.J. LeMahieu 12,000,000
2B Tommy La Stella 3,250,000
SS Andrelton Simmons 15,000,000
SS Marcus Semien 13,000,000
3B Justin Turner 20,000,000
CF George Springer 21,000,000
SP Masahiro Tanaka 23,000,000
SP Cole Hamels 18,000,000
SP Jeff Samardzija 18,000,000
SP Jake Odorizzi 17,800,000
SP Trevor Bauer 17,000,000
SP Mike Leake 16,000,000
SP James Paxton 12,500,000
SP Marcus Stroman 12,000,000
SP Jose Quintana 10,500,000
SP Mike Minor 10,000,000
RHP Alex Colome 10,500,000
RHP Shane Greene 6,250,000
RHP Liam Hendricks 5,300,000
RHP Anthony Bass 1,500,000
RHP Tommy Hunter 850,000
RHP Blake Parker 600,000
LHP Jose Alvarez 3,000,000


1. We have cash to spend, approximately $77M.
  • Give $25M to Realmuto and shut the fuck up Klentak.
  • Go after one of the lower-priced starting pitchers in free agency. I like Stroman, Quintana, maybe even Paxton for let's say $14M.
  • We need relief pitching (obviously). I would pay $6-8M for a guy like Anthony Bass or even go after that prick Shane Greene. Try to retain Alvarez and Hunter for let's say $5M combined.
  • We can obviously sprinkle in the 'Other Guys in the System' to fill some of the gaps. Maybe someone like Brogdon can remain a staple on the team or Suarez can get his shit together before the end of the year.
2. After these transactions ($50M) we are left with ~25M.
  • Here is where we can get creative. I think we need a middle infielder because an infield of Bohm, Segura, Kingery, Hoskins scares me. I don't love the free agent options but maybe if the price is right...
  • Another option is to spend big on a bullpen arm like Colome or Hendricks. This worries me a little because we have a history on overpaying for relivers.
  • Or do we say let's go big on starting pitching and try to grab Bauer. I don't think starting pitching is a weak point on this team so I really don't see this happening.
  • Is the DH here to stay? Do we go after Nelson Cruz? Personally I would love him.. he's putting up legit Silver Slugger stats even at age 40.
Curious to hear your thoughts. Maybe we don't have this much cash to spend and I'm totally off-base and we're actually screwed next year.
Let me know if I missed anything or should make corrections anywhere.
Edit: Thank you for the gold u/ToddRob, I appreciate it. This did take a little while to put together but I like the Phillies. If Reddit formatting wasn’t such a bitch it would’ve taken less time haha
submitted by DJagerty to phillies [link] [comments]

2020.09.21 22:48 kasutori_Jack 2020 r/baseball Power Rankings -- Week 10: Final Regular Season Ranking Shakes Up Top Half, Reds and Yankees Rise and Yeet Teams Out of Their Way, Blue Jays Fall From Such Medium Heights, Summer Has Come and Passed, Playoffs Dreams Don't Always Last, Wake Me Up When September Ends

Hey Sportsfans — it's time for Week 10 of baseball's 2020 Power Rankings — Welcome friends to what is, I believe to be, the final regular Power Rankings of this weird, discombobulated, allegedly legitimate baseball season. I hope you've enjoyed reading this as much as we have putting them together. Or hopefully more. Next week, we will likely be voting to determine World Series champion probabilities.
Every voter has their own style / system and the only voting instructions are these:
"To an extent determined individually, you must take into account how strong a team is right now and likely to be going forward. You must, to some degree, give weight to the events and games of the previous week."
For added information and fun, check out the Auxiliary Post.
TRANSPARENCY: this link will show you who voted each team where and has added neat statistics!
If something is a little messed up, feel free to pester me let me know.
Total Votes: 30 of 30. A perfect vote!
# Team Δ Comment Record
1 Dodgers 0 Two series wins this week against two divisional opponents, the Dodgers go into the final week of the season with the division almost officially won, focused on setting themselves up for the playoffs, probably solidify the lineup, align the starters for the opening series, etc. Keep an eye on Mookie this week, he will be finishing his case to become the second player ever to win the MVP in both the AL and NL. But no worries, he's got 12 years to figure it out if he can't pull this one in :) 38-16
2 Padres 0 Playoffs? PLAyofss? PLaaaayoffs? PLayoofs? playoffs? playOFFS? PLAY-OFFS? PLayyyyyyOffffffsss? PLAYofs? PPPPPPPPPLAYOFFS? PLAYYYYYYoffSSSSSSS? playoffFFFSSS? playofFFFFFFs? Playoffs. 34-20
3 White Sox 0 It's odd to feel disappointed after a week that saw us clinch a playoff spot, take 3 of 4 in a huge division matchup and get our magic number to 4 but that's where our expectations are at. LuBob has slashed 103/185/155 in September and YoYo isn't much better at 192/306/269. We are just hoping to be right for our first playoff run in 12 years. On the plus side, Crochet got the call and looked electric, hitting triple digits on the radar gun 13 times in 2 starts. 34-19
4 Rays 0 Playoffs? Clinched. Division games? Over. Franco era started? Well, not yet. The Rays suffer another big loss in Austin Meadows down the stretch. "Luckily" he hasn't been a major contributor lately, so it hopefuly won't affect the team as much. The Rays take the best record in the AL into the final week looking to clinch the #1 seed. Flaptober is coming. 35-19
5 Athletics 0 The A's are going to their 6th postseason in 9 years- 29th playoff visit in the history of the franchise. that's tiedd with StL for third all time. Jake Lamb has been on fire since we picked him up to replace Chapman- and the A's had two dominating games against the Giants before a Minor bullpen implosion (sos) and late ddefensive miscues from the backups led to a blowout loss. This last week of the season is all about giving K. Davis and others AB's before a first round matchup against.... houston? geez 33-20
6 Twins 0 The Good: We clinched a playoff spot!; The Bad: We're lined up to face the Yankees again. 33-22
7 Yankees +3 Happy postseason clinch day! This is the seventh time in the last decade the Yankees have made the postseason, the fourth time on a WC. The team really streaked into ten wins as of this weekend, and really has been putting up hilarious one sided box scores. Hopefully we see more of that version of the Yanks, instead of the version that can't score runs in any section of the lineup. 31-22
8 Braves -1 3-3 for the week. MVFree is still locked in and should be the front runner for NL MVP. If he can put together another signature week, he should go home with some hardware this year. We can clinch the division with 3 wins against the Marlins who we start a 4 game series with Monday. Fried returned, Hamels made an appearance, Kyle Wright looks as if he has "wrighted" the ship and Ian Anderson is legit. Bring it home boys. 31-22
9 Cubs -1 The Cubs' offense has once again gone completely quiet. This team's inconsistencies continue to drag them down when they are just at the finish line, though they are still in a good position to make the playoffs and win the division. If they blow it this week, the Cubs don't deserve the top of the division anyway. 31-22
10 Indians -1 The Tribe shook off a ghastly 8-game losing streak with a 3-3 week. Starting pitching continues to shine; relief pitching is poopoo and hitting is doodoo. With a playoff slot all but locked up, the Tribe's only goal this final week is to position the rotation to go Bieber-Plesac-Carrasco in the WC round. 29-24
11 Cardinals +1 In their 10 game week the Cards went 6-4, dropping 2 of 5 against Milwaukee while taking 4 of 5 against Pittsburgh. 8 games left, 3 against KC and 5 against Milwaukee. The NL Central is looking at a tight finish in this much-abridged season. 26-24
12 Astros +2 As if we needed any more bad news this season, Justin Verlander's time in an Astros uniform is likely over. Good news, though! George Springer hit the 1999th and 2000th home runs in MMP history on Sunday. Oof, possibly bad news: those home runs were possibly the last he will hit in a home Astros uniform at MMP. Still holding out hope for a playoff spot. 27-26
13 Phillies 0 The Phillies continue to tread water as teams behind them start to heat up. The team was wrecked by injuries this week, losing Hoskins, Realmuto, Arrieta, Howard, Segura, and now Harper at some point last week. They were still able to win 3 of 4 against a playoff team in the Blue Jays. They will contend with the Reds, Brewers, and Giants for 2 playoff spots. They play the rest of the season on the road, with 4 games in DC and 3 games in Tampa to finish the season. 27-26
14 Marlins +1 Marlins might just do the damn thing. With less than two weeks left in the season the fish currently have the 5th seed. If they can keep it going then my prediction of finishing within 5 games of .500 will hit. Ill toot my own horn if i want to, its my blurb dammit. Anywho, the fish took 3 out of 5 from the nats recently. Up next are two tough series against the braves and yanks. If they can at least win 3 games out of the remaining 7, the fish will likely make the playoffs for the first time in 17 years (i was in middle school....ugh) 28-25
15 Blue Jays -4 Going 1-6 with a -35 run differential was not the 2nd last week of the season the Blue Jays imagined. Ken Giles' return was cut extremely short, as he exited with an aggrevation of his ealier elbow issue. The Blue Jays are limping in to the playoffs. 2020 has been a success for the Jays. The playoffs were the goal from the get, but it doesn't feel great right now. 27-26
16 Reds +4 Wow. A week ago we were calling for the Reds to give Brandon Phillips a shot to end his career in Cincinnati since nothing matters anymore. And now they've got a > 50% chance of making the postseason. So what happened? Well, they got a much needed sweep of the Pirates and a shocking series win against the White Sox. I think we all owe Mikey Biceps an apology. Lorenzen made two stellar spot starts this week and has been downright terrific since mid-August. This Brewers series is without a doubt the most important set of games the Reds have played in my adult life. Guys, I'm scared. 27-27
17 Giants -1 The Giants ended the week with a statement 14-2 victory over the A's, capping off a 3 - 2 week and pushing their run diff positive. However, that statement was written in wingdings and we're still working on the translation. I predicted some weeks ago the season would be decided by this 4 game COL series and that looks to be holding true. The day-to-day loss of sure-All-Star Mike Yastrzemski came at the worst possible time and seemed to drain the offense of punch until Sunday, and Giants fans are lining up to donate their calves. All eyes are on the lineup card as a Yaz playing at even 80% would be huge. Tonight the Giants give the ball to Cueto as they try to continue yesterday's good vibes. 26-26
18 Brewers 0 Back to .500 for the first time since Aug 19. With all remaining matchups being agains the Reds or Cardinals this week is the most important week in 2020 Brewers history. Big Man Dan (Vogelbach) came to Milwaukee at the right time. Not only is he hitting really well (.417/.475/.722 with 3 HR's and 10 RBIs) he also has given a spark to the clubhouse and team chemistry. 26-26
19 Mets -2 Todd Frazier pitched this week. Seriously though, earlier in the week I remarked after catching 2019 highlights on TV that I haven't felt any kind of magic, or had a "this team is special" moment this season. Then the two wins against the Phillies happened and I thought "this is it". Then the weekend series against Atlanta happened, and things as usual kinda came crashing back to earth. The light the light is fading faster than ever. 24-29
21 Orioles +1 Another year done, which is weird since it is about October but yet the season just started. Another year of the playoffs without arguably the best player in the game Mike Trout. Will he be the greatest player ever to not play in a World Series. Only time will tell. At least it is my belief we have seen the last of Chris Davis in a Baltimore uniform. Hazzah. 23-31
22 Mariners -1 I would appreciate if the Astros would lose some games and the Mariners win some games. This would be a more ideal scenario. Thank you for coming to my TED talk. 23-30
23 Angels +1 As the season's end approaches, checking in on the leaderboards, it is not hard to miss what an utter failure this season has been. The offense is 8th in MLB in wRC+, the rotation 18th in FIP, and the bullpen 11th in fWAR. Digging a little bit deeper, though, it's clear that the inability to convert their peripherals into run suppression is what's doomed this team's 2020, with the team having the second worst ERA- in the AL. Where the bridge between bad pitching and bad luck meets is anyone's guess, but in another world, the pitching probably was good enough for this team to have made the postseason. Cold comfort. 23-31
24 Tigers -1 Well, the biggest news this week is the sudden and rather unexpected retirement of Ron Gardenhire. Although this ranker was not particularly keen on his hire a while back, he had won me over with how he nurtured some overlooked players (Turnbull, Victor Reyes, Niko Goodrum, etc.) while always putting himself out there as a player-first manager. He will be missed. Rumor has it that DONNIE KELLY BABY is on the list of potential replacements. While he'd be fun, George Lombard might be my current preference. This week: 2 at MIN, 4 at KCR. 22-30
25 Nationals +1 19-31: The Washington Nationals are going to win the 2020 World Series. In 4 weeks we're gonna look back and laugh how much we overreacted over this team. 20-32
26 Royals -1 21-32
27 D-Backs 0 MadBum finally had a good start and Kole Calhoun has been on fire. Everything else was pretty bad. The end 20-34
28 Red Sox +1 The Sox keep winning just enough games to possibly lose out on a top 3 pick, but they refuse to win enough to actually make me feel any emotion other than a sort of numbness that has become associated with the team this year. With the team officially being out of the playoff race (lol), this last week seems like prime time to just throw in hopes of securing the #2 pick. But hey, silver lining, we didn't completely and utterly throw against the yankees, we only blew one win! 20-34
29 Rangers -1 4-6 during your last 10 games is not a winning losing formula to get that 1st overall pick. 19-34
30 Pirates 0 It's been mostly bad for the Pirates in 2020, but there were some good moments: Ke'Bryan Hayes made his major league debut and has exceed expectations so far (159 wRC+, 0.9 WAR in 17 games), starting pitchers like Joe Musgrove and Mitch Keller seemed to take steps forward, and the Pirates appear to have the No. 1 pick on lock, unless Manfred decides to ruin that, too. Otherwise I'm ready for 2020 — both this MLB season and the year — to be over. 15-38
submitted by kasutori_Jack to baseball [link] [comments]

2020.09.11 23:35 500scnds [Table] r/Fantasy – I’m Marie Brennan, author of DRIFTWOOD and the Memoirs of Lady Trent. Ask me anything! (pt 1)

The author included links to photos that she took as a bonus. Spoilers have been hidden on top of the post being marked as well. It is possible that the author is still answering late questions.
Questions Answers
What was the idea for the worldbuilding in the Lady Trent books, specifically how analogous a lot of the world is to mid 19th century earth. Any specific reason why it is made this way? This hybrid between high and low fantasy worldbuilding is something I don't think i have seen before. I'm certainly not the first person to do that kind of approach to the setting -- in fact, I think of it as the "Guy Gavriel Kay school of worldbuilding," though he's not the only one and probably also not the first. :-) In my case, it was because I wanted to be able to lean on the associations the reader has with the nineteenth century as a time of rapid scientific development (which was easier to do if the setting was more recognizable, rather than me just grafting nineteenth-century technology onto wildly different cultures), without locking myself into the specifics of a specific year and history. All the places Isabella visits are definitely based on a real region and culture, but -- to pick one example -- Othole, the continent that's most equivalent to "the New World," was never cut off from interaction with the "Old World" to the same degree. Which means there wasn't a massive die-off there like we had in real history when European diseases were brought to the New World, which in turn means there wasn't the same imbalance of colonization and the resulting slave trade from Eriga. That's a big example; smaller ones are things like "Vystrana is Romania, more or less, except their language is more Slavic and also they have Russian overlords right now, and also Finnish-style saunas." After all the rigorous period-specific research I did for the Onyx Court books, I liked the flexibility that came with not being tied to "okay, what exactly was happening in 1873?"
And I owe you a photo! Here's one from the Natural History Museum in London, which I think of as a cathedral to St. Darwin -- it's built much like a church, with a statue of Darwin where the altar would be, and absolutely COVERED in carvings of different animals:
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Thank you, I really liked it and it saves a lot of work that can be spent on painting the specific places better. Yeah, especially given that she travels so much. Though I do love being able to park a series in one location and develop it in depth; that's what I got to do with the Onyx Court books, and what Alyc Helms and I are doing with the Rook and Rose series.
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Hi, Marie. Thank you for joining us. I have two questions for you, one about your process and a silly one: 1. What are the unique challenges in writing a scientist protagonist for a fantasy world? How difficult was it to come up with a field of fantasy science to underpin Lady Trent's research? I wouldn't say it was hard, exactly, because while Lady Trent's world isn't exactly ours, it also isn't full of magic -- it's of a type usually referred to as "Ruritanian," after (if I remember correctly), the invented European country The Prisoner of Zenda takes place in. So I could just write her more or less the same way I would a scientist protagonist in a historical fiction series. But I did put some amount of effort into handwaving the dragons enough for them to seem vaguely plausible -- and not just the dragons, actually; I also did research into the environments they live in, other creatures that inhabit those environments, etc. Savannah snakes are heavily based on cheetahs, for example. I figured, the science aspect wouldn't feel satisfying if it didn't feel at least somewhat solid.
2. If you could own a dragon, what is the ideal size and color of your perfect dragon? Green, definitely! A deep emerald green. Ideal size is a shape-changing dragon that can be big enough for me to fly on its back, but the rest of the time shrinks to the size of a housecat, with the appetite to match (so I don't need entire herds of cattle to keep it fed).
Photo: I have no idea why this dragon was on the corner of a building in Barcelona, but I approve of random dragon decorations!
Thanks for coming to talk to us! I am really curious about your decision to make dragons more like a large wild animal, rather than the more mythical and magical beast most fantasy worlds have. What prompted your decision in this direction? Do you prefer dragon-rider or dragon-killer books when you read other works? (or maybe just dragon-leave-them-the-hell-alone) The origin of the idea for the Memoirs was looking at the D&D supplement The Draconomicon + the Dragonology calendar on my wall and thinking, "what if I ran a D&D game where instead of killing dragons and taking their stuff, you were there to study them?" It turned into novels instead of a game, but since I already had the notion of this being about field biology, that implied wild animals rather than sentient, magical creatures -- otherwise it would be more like anthropology, which is also a cool field (she said, having spent years in school studying that), but a very different kind of story.
As for your other question, I'll confess to being more fond of riding dragons than killing them. If I could go soaring through the skies atop a magnificent fire-breathing beast . . . I mean, yeah. :-D
Photo! I don't know if it's still there, but for a while the Tower of London had a dragon built out of weapons and armor. The shape of the room and the dim lighting made it stupidly hard to take a decent picture of it; this is the best I could manage:
No real question, I just wanna say I love Lady Trent. I bought the first book when visiting a friend, finished the book the same day and ordered all the others right then. I love the books, they're done so well with a lot of attention to current issues mingled into the story, besides that I find (old) Lady Trent hilarious, I love her comments throughout narration. Actually, a possibly random question: is the cover art for sale(if you have knowledge of such things)? It would be perfect for my library/office! Thank you! Lady Trent was a blast to write. I tell people that when I finished the series, it felt like a good friend of mine was moving across the country. It wasn't like I'd never see her again, but we wouldn't be hanging out on a daily basis anymore.
And yes, the cover art is for sale! You have to scroll pretty far down to find the first one or Turning Darkness Into Light, and I don't see Tropic on there anywhere, but I bet if you contacted Todd you could work something out.
Edited: Oops, photo! This fellow was at the ruins of Ephesus, just doing his thing as we wandered through:
Thanks for coming on. Who do you believe to be the best 3 fantasy authors working today? Ooof, that's not only a tough one but I think an unanswerable one -- it implies I'm able to read broadly enough (and currently enough!) in a genre that's getting ever more complex to be able to offer anything like an authoritative answer to that question. Instead I'll just name off three new-to-me authors I've really enjoyed in the last six months: S.A. Chakraborty (author of the Daevabad Trilogy, which is full of complicated djinn politics), Curtis Craddock (author of the Risen Kingdoms trilogy, with differently complicated politics around ancient sorcery + the discovery of new lands), and Henry Lien (author of the Peasprout Chen middle grade series about martial arts figure skating and, uhhh, more politics?, okay, I guess I'm enjoying that kind of thing right now).
Edited to add: for the photo, have Sravanabelagola, a Jain temple in Karnataka:
I seem to remember that the lady trent was supposed to be 7 books? Am I right? What was the reason for making it shorter? Will you be writing more sequels to Turning darkness into light? What about the story of how lady trents son met his wife? That sounds like a really interesting story that is just hinted at in that book, I kept expecting it to be told but it never did. Thanks for writing great female main characters. Nope, it was planned from the start to be five! I felt like that would be a good length in terms of being able to send her to a variety of different places and showing the steps along the way to her big discovery, without trying to stretch it out too far.
As for whether there will be more sequels, heh. The first one took me by surprise, so when I say "I don't have any plans for another one," who's to say I won't be eating my words a year from now? As for the story of how Jacob met his wife, I actually wrote that as a snippet of flash fiction for my newsletter subscribers -- maybe at some point I'll post that to my site. The short form is that they met at sea (surprise!), when his future wife was doing astronomical research.
And since I just remembered I'd promised to post photos, here, have one of my favorite trees! This is "Old Veteran" in Point Lobos Park in Monterey, and the partial inspiration for the tree in an upcoming story of mine, "The City of the Tree":
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Before I ask a question, thanks a lot for the Lady Trent series! It was a delight to read. I also enjoyed you live-blogging your read/reread of the Wheel of Time, and your post-mortem of how to deal with the issues with long form epic fantasy that Jordan and Martin ran across. I have a few questions: 1. Do you have any recommendations for people who liked Lady Trent? I have read Temeraire, of course, which I think is an obvious recommendation, but I liked the discovery / pushing gender boundaries aspects of the series more than the dragons, and neither of those are present in Temeraire. It's lovely to know people enjoyed those posts! Recommendations: the ones that come to mind most recently are Curtis Craddock's Risen Kingdoms trilogy, which I've mentioned elsewhere in this discussion, and Marshall Ryan Maresca's Maradaine Constabulary trilogy, where one of the main characters is a woman trying to establish herself as a police inspector. The former has more of the discovery, while the latter has more of the gender struggle.
2. For someone who has only read Lady Trent (i.e. me), what part of your bibliography would you recommend next? Bibliography: the most natural step from Lady Trent is the Onyx Court series, since those are set in English history. But they're also more dramatic/serious in tone, and for all I know you like other kinds of fantasy, too. Driftwood is the new book, and puts some of my worldbuilding on display; the Varekai novellas are also rich on the worldbuilding front. The other stuff is a bigger step away, like the Wilders series is urban fantasy, or the Doppelganger books are back to secondary world, but more quest-y in some ways.
3. What are your opinions on cinematic/TV adaptations? Both, potential adaptations of your works, and adaptations of other people's work that are coming soon (Wheel of Time, Dune etc). Thanks for doing this AMA! Adaptations: I've got nothing against them! I tell people I'm too much of a folklorist to throw any stones about stories being retold in different variations. :-) It can be interesting to see what gets kept and what gets changed to suit the new medium, and certainly I love the sensory aspect of being able to see and hear the story. I'd have no objection if someone wanted to offer me money to adapt some of my work, though so far none of the queries I've gotten in that direction have solidified into anything real. (Alyc and I would give our left arms to see the Rook and Rose books adapted: they're incredibly well-suited to a Game of Thrones-style drama. HBO, call us!)
Photo: since we're talking a lot about books . . . one of the cool places I visited in Basel, Switzerland was the Papiermuhle or "paper mill" museum. I don't know why I uploaded such a small version of this photo, but here's a shelf of old books and a lantern they had set up in one room:
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Hi Marie, I've heard a lot of really glowing things about Driftwood and had the Lady Trent on my to read shelf for quite a while, but haven't gotten around to reading her adventures yet. I'll rectify that shortly. 1. Going by the synopsis of Driftwood: You get to mash-up two different fantasy worlds (that aren't yours), which two would produce the most interesting results? . . . what kind of interesting are we looking for? :-) I'd mash up two multiverse settings, like maybe Diana Wynne Jones' Chrestomanci series (which also connects to her book The Homeward Bounders) and, I dunno, Roger Zelazny's Amber or V.E. Schwab's Shades of Magic series or something. Anything where you've got conflicting multiverses ricocheting off one another is bound to be interesting.
2. Do you stick tightly to a meticulously plotted outline or do you place your characters in a world and let them do their thing? (It's kind of the literary version of nature versus nurture.) Hahahaha "meticulously plotted outline" oh man that's a good one. I usually have some notion of where the characters are headed in the end, but the path there, I figure out along the way. The main exception to that has been the Rook and Rose trilogy, because that one's co-written with my friend Alyc Helms, and it turns out that you can't rely on your fellow writer to telepathically read the nebulous cloud of story potential in your head. But even then, given that our last couple of weeks have been spent making outlines for the chapters ahead and then throwing them out . . . yeah.
3. Which of the countries you've traveled to have influenced a) you and b) your novels the most? For travel, I'd probably have to say London simply because I made four research trips there for the Onyx Court books, plus I've been there several other times, making it by far my most-visited locale (even more so if I count the rest of the U.K.). But I think everywhere I've gone has influenced me in one way or another: when Isabella goes into the swamps of Mouleen in The Tropic of Serpents, I'm drawing on my experiences in Costa Rica, etc.
4. Did you ever intend to utilize your PhD and or bachelor degree for a vocational purpose? Both sound like degrees you pursue out of passion, which I admire, but I'm curious. Thanks! And looking forward to the surprise picture! ;) I worked for a short time doing CRM (cultural resource management, aka contract archaeology), but that's the only time I've been formally employed outside academia in a fashion that relates directly to my field. Between you, me, and the rest of Reddit, I've never held a long-term non-academic job: only summer gigs and teaching, and now writing full-time. My original plan was to become a professor, though I wound up ditching that when my writing career got going.
Photo: The House of the Vestal Virgins in the Roman Forum, because I am a dyed-in-the-wool Latin nerd:
the below is a reply to the above
Thanks for the intriguing and substantial answer! And between you, me, and the rest of Reddit, I think it's a good thing you've successfully avoided being chained to a corporate job, otherwise your answers in this AMA would probably have been way less multifaceted and interesting. ;) I've been incredibly lucky in that regard. And credit goes partly to my husband, whose tech career allows me to write without needing a second job: I make a decent living, but not one that would provide me with enough of a cushion for this to be my sole income without his support.
One of the things that I really liked about your books was how the characters reflected Victorian viewpoints (at least as well as I understand them). Lots of historically based books have characters in them that feel like modern characters with modern views teleported back in time. But in your books, even when characters were rebelling against aspect of Victorian society, they still felt to me like they were rebelling as members of that society and not from outside of it. How did you keep this up in your writing? Was it always something that you were aware of and working on as you wrote? Lots of research on the time in question? Lots of research, yeah. It helped that my previous series, the Onyx Court, was set in English history from the Elizabethan period up to the Victorian, so I'd spent several years marinating in the topic. I'm sure a real aficionado of the period could find plenty of places where it still feels modern, but I did my best to give the feel of the time -- especially when it comes to the question of rebellion. I very consciously did not want Isabella to just go "la, I don't care what anybody says!" and skip off to do her thing without any real pushback; I wanted to acknowledge the kinds of barriers real women scientists faced, and the strategies they used to work around those barriers.
Photo: here's a cool bit of art from the Poison Garden at Blarney Castle. The whole thing with the Blarney Stone may be totally cheesy, but the grounds of the castle turn out to have some amazing gardens!
the below question has been split into three, enumerated
Hello Marie, I am a huge fan of the Lady Trent series - it is one of the few book series I have followed as the books published each year and each book brings up its own memory from that point in my life. I would like to thank you for this wonderful series. I finally got around to Turning Darkness Into Light just last week (with some trepidation, given that this is not Isabella's story anymore) and finished it in two sleepless nights and simply loved it. Some questions I had: 1. While I greatly enjoyed TDIL, I did miss seeing dragons - was it a conscious decision to keep them completely out of the story? Will we get to see them soon in a different book from sometime else's perspective? It wasn't a conscious decision, no; just a consequence of the nature of that story. Because Audrey stays in Scirland the whole time, and the only dragons there are wolf-drakes or things in menageries, there wasn't a lot of opportunity. But I also figure, Audrey is a different person from her grandmother, and her attention is firmly on other matters. Like her father, she shares Isabella's intellectual drive, but nobody in that family aspires to follow in her exact footsteps. (She's much too difficult an example to live up to!) As for a future book, at the moment I have no plans for such a thing -- but given that I had no plans for TDIL either until suddenly I did, who knows. :-)
2. Do you have a dreamcast for the series if it were ever to be adapted (also, it seems crazy to me that people aren't lining up to adapt this into a movie series!)? I immediately latched on to Dame Maggie Smith as the narratopresent time Isabella. When the first book came out, I saw a number of reviewers saying they immediately visualized old Lady Trent as Maggie Smith, and my thought was "that's legit." :-) To the point where I told my amazing audiobook narrator, Kate Reading, to go ahead and channel her. I don't have a dreamcast, though -- I trust people whose job it is to do that sort of thing, and often TV shows or movies cast people I've never heard of who turn out to be perfect. People have shown interest in adapting it! But none of them have yet committed to that interest to the tune of giving me money. :-P
3. Favourite fictional dragon (s)? MALEFICENT ahem. Best Disney villain ever. For a non-villainous dragon, Toothless, who is apparently 1/3 dragon, 1/3 dog, and 1/3 cat.
Photo: this is an amazing ceiling from the gardens of Fukushu-en in Okinawa, which I may repurpose as a book cover someday:
Marie Ive had "A Natural History of Dragons" on my nightstand for inspiration for years! This is so exciting! Todd Lockwood's art hooked me, and then the story had me for the Long haul! Can you talk a little bit about how you differentiate between ideas you chose to pursue as projects, and those that need to be set aside or left behind? Hoooo, that's a good one! Some of it happens simply because of time limitation: I can't work on everything at once, so some things get put on a list to write later, and then when I come back to them sometimes I find they just aren't as shiny anymore. The strong ideas are the ones that still fire me up even after time has gone by. Though even then, I still don't throw anything out: sometimes I'll get invited to a themed anthology and one of those old ideas is the best-suited to the theme, so then I go to work punching it up into something cool. Or heck, "Vīs Dēlendī" spent something like a decade having no "there" there until I thought of cross-breeding my initial idea with a second concept; then I wrote an absolutely crappy version of the story; then I radically changed it and wrote a totally new story; now it's slated for reprinting in a Year's Best anthology!
But when it comes to novels, it's also not entirely in my hands. I've had several projects which my agent shopped around to publishers with no success, so into the trunk those go. Again, I might dust them off later, but for the time being my attention moves on to the next thing.
Photo: since we're talking about ideas that don't wind up coming to life, here's a grave from Highgate Cemetery in London:
Hello Marie! Thank you for the AMA. I just have one question, although it might sound a bit silly. Why did you decide to name your protagonist Isabella? Apart from the Twilight saga, I haven't seen it in other works of fiction. Honestly? Random instinct. She was "Victoria" for approximately three paragraphs before my subconscious said "NO THAT ISN'T HER NAME SHE'S CALLED ISABELLA." (My subconscious is incredibly picky about names: the reason Michael Deven in the Onyx Court books is only ever called Deven is because I never did find the right first name for him.) People who know their nineteenth-century lady adventurers would be forgiven for thinking she's named after Isabella Bird, but the truth is that I didn't learn about her until I was partway through writing A Natural History of Dragons.
Photo: a partial reconstruction of a Roman pediment at Bath in England, with the missing bits filled in by ghostly light:
the below is a reply to the above
Thank you for your swift reply and for the picture! Archaeology is such a fascinating field. The reason I asked you about Lady Trent's name is because I have the same one and, after living my teenage years "plagued" by the ghost of Isabella Swan from Twilight, it was sooo nice and refreshing to read about such a cool character with whom I shared my first name! Not to mention that Lady Trent's journey as a scientist and researcher has been an important source of support and inspiration during my MSc (completely different field from dragons, though, haha!). So thank you for your work. Your books have brought a light into my life during some dark times. P.S. I completely understand the "picky" subconscious thing. I feel the exact same way when I have to choose a name for a character in one of my stories! Thank you again :-) Aha -- I'm so glad to have given you an Isabella you like better! And it's hugely touching to me that so many scientists, researchers, and academics have said this story speaks to them.
the below question has been split into four, enumerated
I absolutely loved Lady Trent and have been recommending it to everyone, so I have lots of questions. You can just pick your favorite if you don't have time for all of them. 1. One thing that I adored more than anything was how so many details tied together throughout the series, with one discovery built on another. How much of the overall series did you plot beforehand? Were characters like Suhail who didn't appear until later on planned from the beginning? I have essays on my site that might be of interest to you! "Concerning 'Lord Trent'" and "The Accidental Mr. Thomas Wilker."
As for the underlying questions: I knew at the start of the series what Isabella's famous discovery would be, and the general shape of her life, but a lot of the specific plotting happened along the way. (Embarrassingly, I didn't figure out what the big thing at the end of the fourth book would be until I was more than halfway through the fourth book . . . at which point it was blindingly obvious and I'm not sure how I didn't think of that years before.)
2. How do you approach relationships? (Platonic as well as romantic) I especially loved your enemies to friends relationship with Mr. Wilker, but the romantic relationships and other friendships were great as well. Relationships tend to happen more or less organically for me -- in fact, Tom was unusual in that I consciously designed him as a foil for Isabella. But since his actual role in the story wound up growing well beyond what I'd planned, it was still pretty organic! I'll know going into something that I want X to be the love interest or Y to be the rival, but the shape that takes get built out of the words that fall out of my fingers when I start typing. Aaron Mornett in Turning Darkness Into Light is another one who didn't go in the directions I expected.
3. What was it like writing a memoir style book where the narrator is reflecting on the circumstances from years down the road? What limitations and opportunities did it give you? Was it a harder sell to publish? The memoir approach was THE BEST DECISION I MADE ALL SERIES. :-D I'm not kidding: it gave me such an amazing toolkit for everything from exposition to foreshadowing to irony to characterization. I think the only significant limitation is one that doesn't bother me at all, which is that I've seen some readers complain that there's no tension because they know Isabella's going to survive. My answer to that is to ask them how many of the last hundred novels they've read feature the sole protagonist dying -- I'm going to bet, not many. It definitely gave me no trouble at all with my publisher; in fact, I think the narrative approach is part of what's made the series so engaging to readers.
4. How did you go about approaching all the cultures you wrote about? How did you approach writing a story from the (at least in our world) colonizer's perspective? Your last question is a complex enough one that we could spend an hour in actual conversation (i.e. not typing) just chewing it over. The short form is that I'm definitely drawing on my background in anthropology there, and this is one of the places where the memoir approach was an excellent tool: because the narrative is so explicitly placed as the story the character is telling to her audience, I think there's less risk of it feeling like the author shares her perspective. Older Isabella calls younger Isabella out on some of her errors, which creates space for the reader to then be critical of the things older Isabella still isn't aware of. And some of it was a worldbuilding thing, too; elsewhere in this AMA I mentioned changing some of the world conditions in ways that mean colonialism is still there, but less hellaciously imbalanced than it was in real history (e.g. there was no equivalent to the Atlantic slave trade). I think there's an important role for stories that explore those horrors, but there's also a role for stories that help us imagine a different reality.
Photo: Gyokusendo Cave in Okinawa, some parts of which are lit in a really interesting and beautiful fashion!
the below question has been split into three, enumerated
Hi Marie! I've been raving about Driftwood ever since I got to read an advanced copy. It was absolutely amazing. 1. What can you tell us about the inspiration for Driftwood? Driftwood is, perhaps uniquely among my work, one whose origins I can't pin down. I know exactly when I wrote the first story, but where the idea for it came from . . . ? No clue. I can only tell you it was before I encountered Doctor Who as anything other than a name I'd heard floating around, so there's no connection there, though certainly some character resemblance between Last and the Doctor.
2. Spoiler questions about Driftwood: do you know why Last was able to survive the way he did? And do you know what happened to Last at the end? And if the answer to either of those is "yes," will you tell us? Nope! :-D I honestly do not know the answers to either of those questions. I have theories, but I will only ever nail them down if I come up with some story concept that requires it. And since my editor and I discussed whether this book should reveal why Last is the way he is, and we vehemently agreed that it shouldn't, I suspect it will remain a mystery.
3. You're trapped on a deserted island with three books. Knowing that you will be reading them over and over and over again, what three do you bring? Nnnnnnngaaaaaaaaugggghhhhhhh. I commission a publisher to produce an omnibus edition of the entire Lymond Chronicles, and also maybe the first eight volumes of Elfquest (up through Kings of the Broken Wheel), and then one book on survival and how to get off a deserted island.
Photo: a dwarf carved out of rock salt in the amazing abandoned salt mine of Wieliczka:
the below is a reply to the above
I only heard that Driftwood has a character that resembles The Doctor and I am 100% sold on Driftwood now. Have you watched Doctor Who since(at least part of it), if yes, what did you think and what is your favourite story, if not, do you plan to? I have watched it since then! Though I'm behind on the most recent stuff -- I've only seen the first season for Thirteen. My favorite part is the small daisy-chain of stories toward the end of Ten's run that all work with the question of how he grapples with immortality, because that's a topic I adore. (And then whichever special it was where the War Doctor looks at him and Eleven and calls them "the one who regrets, and the one who forgets.")
Photo: one glimpse of the truly breathtaking interior of La Sagrada Familia, in Barcelona:
In the Lady Trent series you begin your chapters with a list of topic points the chapter will cover. What was your inspiration in doing so? It's a thing you see sometimes in older books, so at first that was really just a way of adding to the period feel of the story. But I wound up enjoying it a lot, because while some of the topics are straightforward, others gave me a chance to slip in a bit of humor or misdirection or understatement. :-)
Photo: nothing like going to an overgrown Victorian cemetery in London (in this case, Brompton) a couple of days before Halloween and catching a raven perched atop a cross:
Hello, Marie! (It's YHL.) How do you know when a story is done incubating and you're ready to start writing words? Do you incubate stories at all? Or maybe you get hit by lightning and rush out to write the story! If you do incubate, what activities help you feed your Muse? (Yay Driftwood!) I do incubate stories! Though how long they incubate for is wildly variable. Turning Darkness Into Light charged headfirst from "idea" to "we're doing this" with basically no pause in between; most things sit around for months or even years between the concept and the execution. But in that gap, I often write at least a bit of the story to nail the idea down, and that usually starts happening when my brain begins spontaneously composing sentences for it. After that, if it's a novel it grows more when my agent and I agree that's the next thing I should shop around (whereupon I need a sample or a whole draft), and if it's a short story it grows more when I glance at my list of ideas/things in progress and it pops up as the one that says "me, me, pick me, coach!" (Or, recently, it falls out of my head when I finally get around to doing the research reading I've been putting off for umpty years and everything clicks into place.)
Photo: the ceiling of the baptistry in Florence is extra:
Forgot to answer the "feeding my Muse" part! A lot of it is reading: specific research for the story, or also just stuff in general, fiction and nonfiction both. I keep meaning to take the Clifton Strengths thing and find out just how high Input is rated for me. :-) Sometimes music helps, too, like the time my brain declared out of nowhere that the end of With Fate Conspire needed to feel like "Death Is the Road to Awe" from the score for The Fountain, and never mind that I had no idea what the PLOT of the ending was going to be. >_<
My overflowing TBR will not thank me for this question: What are your favourite scientific fantasy books? Any science as main focus. And maybe something specific to archeology if you have something. Honestly, nothing is leaping to mind! I haven't seen many books that are fantasy, but have science as the central focus. It's definitely an interest for one protagonist of Curtis Craddock's Risen Kingdoms trilogy (which I'm 2/3 of the way through), but the focus there is much more heavily on politics. Samantha Cohoe's A Golden Fury is about alchemy, which is about as close as I think I can come.
Archaeology . . . Tell your friendly neighborhood publisher to take a look at the proposal my agent sent out, like, last week.
Photo: This is a slide from the Oceanographic Museum in Monaco, which is a RIDICULOUSLY COOL place, and parts of it are deliberately still very Victorian in their setup:
the below is a reply to the above
If you like old style museum, have you visited the Galeriè de Paléonthologie et d'Anatomié comparée in Paris? It is a super cool museum, picture: Panorama of the contemporary exhibition hall And I am "pressing my thumbs"(an expression to wish good luck in German) for that proposal. oooOOOooo. :-D I have not been there! I will remember that the next time I get a chance, because heck yeah I'd be all over that!
How do you process/create your environment/worlds? To suit the characters or story or both, also how complete is the vision going into the writing process? It depends on the project, and it especially changes depending on whether I'm working on a short story or a novel -- unsurprisingly, a short story doesn't get as much development on that front! Most times it's a pretty organic process, though, rather than some kind of organized checklist. Both character and conflict ideas tend to show up with at least some amount of implied setting attached (e.g. I'm working on a short story idea right now whose two roots are in the Library of Alexandria and the Confucian examination system), and then my next step was to decide that this was probably in an environment closer to Egypt than to any part of China, which was enough for me to get started. But as I've been writing the story, I've made up all kinds of things about social structure and religion and so forth, developing those as I reach bits of the narrative where there's a need for some amount of detail on those topics.
That contrasts (somewhat) with how Alyc Helms and I approached preparations for the Rook and Rose trilogy. In part because that one's a collaboration, we did a lot more explicit planning ahead of time, especially regarding physical details like clothing and food, but also things like religion. Even there, though, we certainly didn't have everything decided ahead of time! For us, the world needs to be able to grow and shape itself around the story as well as the other way around -- that's part of the fun and excitement of creation.
I forgot to give you a photo! This is the labyrinth at St. Fin-Barre in Cork, Ireland; I chose it because the idea that Vraszenians (in the Rook and Rose trilogy) have labyrinths as a central feature in their religion was one of the ideas Alyc and I didn't develop until a good way into writing the first book:
Hello! Planning to get to your books soon, so this is a nice surprise. Why dragons? And what other books with magical creatures would you recommend?! Dragons are cool because they're flexible: a centaur is pretty much just that one thing, a Greek idea of a human grafted onto a horse body, but "big quasi-serpentine creatures" are found in many parts of the world. Which is useful when I want to be able to send my protagonist around to many different environments to study them! Centaurs would not do well in swamps, or on top of a mountain.
For a recommendation, these aren't animals, but both S.A. Chakraborty's Daevabad trilogy and P. Djeli Clark's upcoming A Master of Djinn do very cool things with the broad array of types and ideas that fall under the header of "djinn."
Edit: speaking of horses, I liked the staging of these two heads in the Louvre:
submitted by 500scnds to tabled [link] [comments]

2020.09.09 01:35 ZeeMastermind Fun with Surveys (Results)

It's here! The survey results that nobody asked for! DM me if you want the raw data.
Image Gallery
A couple things to note:
The questions for this survey are as follows:

Single-select Questions

For these, the confidence range is 95%. I used this site to calculate the intervals. Use this one if you run into trouble.
What sent you to this survey?
Have you bought a Shadowrun CRB before the release of 6e?
Have you played Shadowrun before the release of 6e?
Did you buy the 6e Core Rulebook (6e)?
Do you like 6e?
Here is the breakdown of the first few questions by source:
"Yes" Percentages by Source Have you bought a Shadowrun CRB before the release of 6e? Have you played Shadowrun before the release of 6e? Did you buy the 6e Core Rulebook (6e)? Do you like 6e? Total Respondents
Dumpshock 100.00% 100.00% 17.65% 5.88% 17
Official Forums 100.00% 100.00% 76.47% 17.65% 17
/Shadowrun 86.36% 97.73% 43.18% 9.09% 44
bizarro-ZeeMastermind 100% 100% 100% 0% 1
Overall 92.31% 98.72% 44.87% 10.26% 79
This chart details the percentage of people, by source, who responded to "do you like 6e" with "it's complicated"
"It's Complicated" Percentages by Source Do you like 6e? Total Respondents
Dumpshock 0.00% 17
Official Forums 35.29% 17
/Shadowrun 22.73% 44
bizarro-ZeeMastermind 0.00% 1
Overall 20.51% 79
This chart details the percentage of people, by source, who pirated and did not buy a CRB (Either just 6e, or any edition).
"Pirate" Percentages by Source Have you bought a Shadowrun CRB before the release of 6e? Did you buy the 6e Core Rulebook (6e)? Total Respondents
Dumpshock 0.00% 23.53% 17
Official Forums 0.00% 17.65% 17
/Shadowrun 11.36% 31.82% 44
bizarro-ZeeMastermind 0.00% 0.00% 1
Overall 6.41% 26.82% 79

Multi-select Questions

I do not provide confidence ranges for these questions. Feel free to calculate it.
What do you like about 6e/why do you play 6e?
For this question, the percentage based on the number of people who answered the question is on the left. The percentage based on the total number of respondents is on the right.
What don't you like about 6e/why don't you play 6e?
For this question, the percentage based on the number of people who answered the question is on the left. The percentage based on the total number of respondents is on the right.
Which of the following have you gone to for information on new games in the past year?

Open-ended Question

What are your candid thoughts on 6e?
submitted by ZeeMastermind to Shadowrun [link] [comments]

2020.09.06 14:40 AB1908 Fact check: Trump was tougher on Russia than the previous administration

You can see my previous fact checks here and here. I've seen an oft repeated claim on /AskTrumpSupporters by a certain user stating the following:
Trump is tougher on Russia than your softball administration ever was (1) (2) (3) (4)
The evidence does not appear to (strongly) support the conclusion. I have attempted to read through all four articles as well as their corresponding citations and I present my findings here. I would also welcome any feedback or corrections in any form. I doubt a limited amount of reading would present a full picture of the scenario.

Analysis of given articles

Article 1

From [1] which, to note, is an op-ed:
For starters, it was President Obama who, according to Reuters, was “caught on camera” saying to a Russian leader that he’ll have more flexibility after the election — not President Trump.
This excerpt cites an article from Reuters [2] and has been mischaracterised as can be seen below:
The exchange, parts of it inaudible, was monitored by a White House pool of television journalists as well as Russian reporters listening live from their press center.
The United States and NATO have offered Russia a role in the project to create an anti-ballistic shield which includes participation by Romania, Poland, Turkey and Spain.
But Moscow says it fears the system could weaken Russia by gaining the capability to shoot down the nuclear missiles it relies on as a deterrent.
It wants a legally binding pledge from the United States that Russia’s nuclear forces would not be targeted by the system and joint control of how it is used.
“This is my last election ... After my election I have more flexibility,” Obama said, expressing confidence that he would win a second term.
Additionally, this was in 2012, during his re-election, much prior to the 2014 annexation of Crimea and thus, is not relevant to the discussion in any way. However, subsequent paragraphs in the article do appear to make accurate claims such as addition of new sanctions that directly penalised President Putin's inner circle and several wealthy individuals. It is also noted that the sanctions from the previous administration remained in place which, although true, aren't exactly helping the point of President Trump's administration being "tougher on Russia".
The following excerpt from the article states that he made even more progress by signing Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, CAATSA, in 2017.
In August 2017, Trump signed a bill slapping even more sanctions on Russia — this time specifically aimed at the country’s energy and defense industries. Congress made the legislation Trump-proof, meaning that no executive order could ever undo such sanctions; yet Trump signed it anyway.
This excerpt cites a piece from CNBC [3] which states the following:
Trump and his secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, had expressed concerns about the sanctions’ possible effects on U.S. relations with Russia. The administration has pushed to improve relations with Moscow but has gotten tripped up by the probe into Russian attempts to affect the election and whether the Trump campaign colluded with the Kremlin.
In a statement after the signing, Trump said he wanted to “punish and deter bad behavior” by North Korea and Iran. The president wanted to make “clear that America will not tolerate interference in our democratic process.”
However, Trump argued that the measure “encroaches on executive power, disadvantages American companies and hurts the interests of our European allies.” Trump needs congressional approval to roll back sanctions under the measure.
This is corroborated by a statement from The White House [4]:
Since this bill was first introduced, I have expressed my concerns to Congress about the many ways it improperly encroaches on Executive power, disadvantages American companies, and hurts the interests of our European allies.
My Administration has attempted to work with Congress to make this bill better. We have made progress and improved the language to give the Treasury Department greater flexibility in granting routine licenses to American businesses, people, and companies. The improved language also reflects feedback from our European allies – who have been steadfast partners on Russia sanctions – regarding the energy sanctions provided for in the legislation. The new language also ensures our agencies can delay sanctions on the intelligence and defense sectors, because those sanctions could negatively affect American companies and those of our allies.
Still, the bill remains seriously flawed – particularly because it encroaches on the executive branch’s authority to negotiate. Congress could not even negotiate a healthcare bill after seven years of talking. By limiting the Executive’s flexibility, this bill makes it harder for the United States to strike good deals for the American people, and will drive China, Russia, and North Korea much closer together. The Framers of our Constitution put foreign affairs in the hands of the President. This bill will prove the wisdom of that choice.
Yet despite its problems, I am signing this bill for the sake of national unity. It represents the will of the American people to see Russia take steps to improve relations with the United States. We hope there will be cooperation between our two countries on major global issues so that these sanctions will no longer be necessary.
Some critics noted that the imposition of sanctions was far too slow as the bill had been signed in August but sanctions were imposed in April. The administration deserves criticism for failing to miss its October 1 deadline of producing a list individuals to be sanctioned but they still deserve credit for the move in its entirety [5].
Here is yet another excerpt:
In fact it was Trump — not Obama — who ordered the closure of Russian diplomatic properties in San Francisco, Washington, D.C., and New York City that appeared to be a threat to American security.
This is misleading as it cites a piece by NYT [6] that clearly states the following:
The administration’s response had been expected for the past month, since Russia ordered the American Mission to cut its staff by 755 people — a sign of its displeasure after Congress imposed sanctions because of Russia’s meddling in the 2016 presidential election.
President Trump has kept his distance from the dispute. He expressed gratitude, rather than anger, toward Mr. Putin when was asked about the Russian president’s action to reduce American diplomatic personnel.
“I want to thank him because we’re trying to cut down the payroll,” Mr. Trump said, “and as far as I’m concerned, I’m very thankful that he let go a lot of a large number of people, because now we have a smaller payroll.”
Mr. Putin’s move was also a delayed reaction to President Barack Obama’s expulsion of 35 Russian diplomats and his seizure of two Russian diplomatic compounds last year. Mr. Obama was acting after American intelligence agencies concluded that Russia attempted to influence the 2016 election. The administration said there was no decision on whether the Russian government would be allowed to take back those facilities.
The rest of the article seems to be fairly accurate except for engaging in a hypothetical in the following excerpt:
To be sure, Obama kicked 35 Russian diplomats out of the country after suspected election meddling by Russia, but only after Trump won the 2016 election. It is questionable whether he would have done so had Hillary Clinton succeeded in being the victor.
and making the following misleading claim:
Furthermore, it was President Trump who led the world in expelling Russian diplomats after the Russian government was suspected of carrying out a nerve agent attack in the United Kingdom against one of their former spies. President Trump moved swiftly to expel 60 Russian diplomats from U.S. soil, and other countries followed suit by expelling dozens as well.
As evidenced by the Reuters article cited in the above excerpt, the administration actually joined other countries instead with Australia joining in later [7]. However, it may have been referring to the claim that it was expelling the highest number of diplomats, in which case it would be accurate but again, not noteworthy as it likely has the highest number of diplomats of all nations involved [citation needed]. The article, however, goes on to note that he had expressed sentiments earlier of wanting to work together. To quote:
Trump, who before he took office in January last year promised warmer ties with Putin, last week congratulated the Russian leader on his re-election, drawing criticism from Republicans and Democrats alike. Trump said the two leaders had made tentative plans to meet in the “not too distant future”.
He did not bring up the poisoning attack in his phone call with Putin.
Trump himself was silent on Monday on Twitter, where he often comments about his policy decisions. However, the White House said later it would like to have a “cooperative relationship” with Russia.
“The president wants to work with the Russians but their actions sometimes don’t allow that to happen,” White House spokesman Raj Shah told a news briefing. “The poisoning in the U.K. that has kind of led to today’s announcement was a very brazen action. It was a reckless action.”
Overall, the article does have some valid points regarding the sanctions but a thorough analysis of its effects are required before we can objectively conclude it has been "tough on Russia". A report from the Congressional Research Service may prove useful for said analysis. Still, I would say this does appear to support the claim of the President being "tough on Russia" but whether it was "tougher than your previous softball administration" remains to be examined.

Article 2

The Washington Post op-ed by Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) [8] also appears to make a few misleading claims. With regards to the Pentagon budget:
More broadly, under Obama, the Pentagon’s budget was slashed by 25 percent from 2010 to 2016.
This cites a report by the Heritage Foundation [9] that states the following:
In total, since FY 2010, the defense budget, including overseas contingency operations (OCO) spending, has been cut 25 percent in inflation-adjusted dollars.[10]
FY 2010 and FY 2011. While the FY 2010 budget slightly increased the defense budget, the department began cancelling major programs that year. For the FY 2010 budget, the department announced:
  • Cancellation of the F-22 Raptor fighter aircraft;
  • Cancellation of the VH-71 presidential helicopter;
  • Cancellation of the vehicle portion of the Future Combat System;
  • Cancellation of missile defense programs, including the Airborne Laser and the Multi-Kill Vehicle;
  • Cancellation of the CSAR-X search and rescue helicopter; and
  • The end of C-17 Globemaster III military transport production at 205 aircraft.[11]
In FY 2011, the cuts focused on modernization spending:
  • Ending C-17 production at 223. (Congress blocked the first attempt.)
  • Cancelling the F-35 alternate engine program.
  • Cancelling the CG(X) future large cruiser.
  • Cancelling the Navy’s EP-X future intelligence aircraft.[12]
In some cases, these cuts were necessary because the program requirements were not a high priority or because the program was too costly. On the other hand, other cancellations have led to serious problems for the military today.
Note that this is also somewhat contentious as this is fails to take into account the fact that the (then) administration started pulling out of Iraq and was also bipartisan, as stated in a fact check by Politifact [10]:
Has the military budget dropped under Obama, and if so, who is to blame?
Overall spending on national security includes the Pentagon budget as well as spending by other agencies, such as the Energy Department’s work on nuclear weapons. Spending increased in 2010 and 2011, but it has fallen every year for four years since then by a cumulative 15 percent.
Other ways of looking at the question show declines as well. National security spending made up 20.1 percent of the federal budget in 2010, but in 2015 it was 15.9 percent. Over the same period, spending fell from 4.6 percent of gross domestic product to 3.3 percent.
There are two main reasons for the spending drop. The first is the Obama administration’s decision to start removing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan. The second has to do with a process known as sequestration.
Sequestration refers to the framework for automatic, across-the-board cuts to both military and non-military spending that were originally designed to force bipartisan negotiators in Congress to strike a deal in 2011. When negotiations fell apart, the cuts went into effect.
The bipartisan nature of the sequestration provision means that both parties merit a share of the blame, experts say.
The most recent Obama budget proposed a 7.8 percent increase in the base Defense Department budget between 2015 and 2016. The spending bill enacted this fall puts the defense budget on a path to start growing in fiscal year 2016, up about 6 percent from the previous year.
"It’s still not quite as much as the president requested, but it’s much closer," said Todd Harrison, director of defense budget analysis at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Another claim made is the following:
After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014, Ukrainian leaders desperately requested from President Barack Obama defensive anti-tank weapons systems that could fend off the invading Russian T-72 tanks in eastern Ukraine. In 2015, members of the Senate Armed Services Committee — Democrats and Republicans — encouraged Obama to grant this request to help Ukraine defend itself. Obama refused. Soon after coming into office, Trump changed course , and the Ukrainians now have Javelin anti-tank weapons systems from the United States. Russian tank drivers have a lot more to worry about today.
The initial sentence cites a report from Foreign Policy [11] that corroborates the statement that T-72 tanks were invading eastern Ukraine but they were controlled by separatists and appear to have had some ties to Russia in the form of funding. It is very slightly misleading to call them "Russian" forces. To quote:
Fighting has not stopped, and the rebels have continued to retake territory. The Russian military took advantage of the deals and continued to supply weapons and troops to the separatists, and this conflict is not any closer to resolution than it was before the deals were signed. On the other hand, each carried with it at least a temporary de-escalation in fighting, bringing needed reprieve for civilians who have been stuck in the crossfire.
The claim of President Obama denying anti-tank weapons is also correct as corroborated in an article by the AP [12]. However, the overall claim is misleading. His administration actually refused to provide lethal weaponry for fear of escalating conflict and instead relied on non-lethal aid. To quote from the USA Today article [13] also cited in the excerpt:
The White House refused to include weapons in an aid package announced Thursday for embattled Ukraine despite an impassioned plea by Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko for more military assistance.
The Obama administration is providing $46 million in non-lethal security assistance and $7 million for relief organizations providing humanitarian assistance to Ukrainians affected by the conflict between government forces and Russian-backed separatists in the eastern region.
The White House announcement came shortly after Poroshenko stood before a joint session of Congress and pleaded for more political support and military equipment beyond the non-lethal aid the United States has pledged.
Poroshenko said blankets and night-vision goggles from the USA are important, "but one cannot win a war with blankets!"
What the White House offered was a military aid package that will provide body armor, helmets, vehicles, night and thermal vision devices, advanced radios, patrol boats, counter-mortar radars, rations, tents and uniforms. U.S. military and civilian advisers will help Ukraine improve its defense capacity, the White House said.
The new aid brings the total U.S. assistance package for Ukraine to $291 million, plus a $1 billion loan guarantee. The Obama administration has refused to provide lethal aid for fear of escalating tensions.
This is further corroborated in a fact check by PolitiFact [14], an article which I would recommend reading in its entirety. Here are some relevant excerpts:
At the time, Obama officials were debating whether to send lethal military equipment amid the conflict with Russia, particularly Javelin anti-tank missiles. Obama rejected a request from Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko for lethal aid in 2014, though the White House approved a $53 million aid package that included vehicles, patrol boats, body armor and night-vision goggles, as well as humanitarian assistance.
U.S. officials were concerned that providing the Javelins to Ukraine would escalate their conflict with Russia. Key allies, including Germany, were not keen on sending weapons into the conflict zone, said Michael Kofman, an expert on Russia and senior research scientist at the CNA Corporation.
Under Obama, the federal government started the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, which sent other kinds of U.S. military equipment to the country. From 2016 to 2019, Congress appropriated $850 million.
In the last year of the Obama administration, Congress authorized lethal aid, but it didn’t include the Javelins.
"The first lethal deliveries came from Trump," said Jim Townsend, deputy assistant secretary of defense for European and NATO Policy during the Obama administration.
In July 2016, the White House announced a $335 million security assistance package for Ukraine that included "counter-artillery and counter-mortar radars, secure communications, training aids, logistics infrastructure and IT systems, tactical UAVs, and medical equipment."
In 2017, the Trump administration said it would sell lethal aid to Ukraine, and in 2018 it approved a plan to sell Ukraine $47 million in lethal Javelin Missiles. Even though the Trump administration has allowed the weapons, they are far from the frontlines.
Congress approved another $250 million in military assistance in 2018, which Trump temporarily withheld along with $141 million in State Department aid in July.
Overall, the article does very little to support the claim that President Trump has been tougher on Russia than his predecessor. It is somewhat misleading, tries to conflate numbers so as to make them look favorable and does not produce concrete evidence to support the claim. There is also the issue of witholding aid from Ukraine despite pledging support in terms of lethal weaponry. However, credit should still be awarded for continuing to provide assistance to them. Note that being pro-Ukraine isn't necessarily anti-Russia, so this is poorly supportive of the claim at best.

Article 3

The third article linked mostly goes on to state the several actions taken by the current administration without providing much context or history behind the moves but is still a decent source [15]. It was subsequently cited in the NPR article on President Trump's actions against Russia. It can be said that he has a decent stance against Russia.

Article 4

The fourth article from NPR [16] weighs the President's rhetoric versus his policies. It notes that his policies have largely been in the right direction as noted in the opening:
President Trump is in the process of inviting Russian President Vladimir Putin to come to Washington, D.C., this fall to continue the talks they started in Helsinki earlier this week.
It's another sign of Trump's efforts to build closer ties with Moscow, even though he insists his administration has taken a hard line toward Russia.
"There's never been a president as tough on Russia as I have been," Trump told reporters on Wednesday.
That might sound like hyperbole, but in this case, there's actually some basis for the president's boast.
After describing a list of actions taken, it then notes:
Whatever tough policies the White House may have adopted toward Moscow also have to be weighed against Trump's rhetoric, which is consistently friendly to Putin. He suggested inviting Russia to rejoin the G-7, a group Moscow was suspended from following the illegal annexation of Crimea. Trump also congratulated Putin on his suspect re-election victory, despite explicit instructions from his advisers.
"There's a real disconnect between the president's words and the underlying policy," said Richard Fontaine, president of the Center for a New American Security.
While Trump has no qualms about criticizing leaders of allied countries like Germany's Angela Merkel, Canada's Justin Trudeau or the U.K.'s Theresa May, he almost always treats Putin with kid gloves.
"The president very rarely speaks about Putin's transgressions and when asked about them expresses the hope that everyone can get along," said Fontaine, a former national security adviser to Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.
Just last week, Trump told reporters in the U.K., "If we could develop a relationship which is good for Russia, good for us, good for everybody, that would be great."
The article goes on to cite a report from The Washington Post detailing the President's attitude in private [17]:
The United States, they explained, would be ousting roughly the same number of Russians as its European allies — part of a coordinated move to punish Moscow for the poisoning of a former Russian spy and his daughter on British soil.
“We’ll match their numbers,” Trump instructed, according to a senior administration official. “We’re not taking the lead. We’re matching.”
The next day, when the expulsions were announced publicly, Trump erupted, officials said. To his shock and dismay, France and Germany were each expelling only four Russian officials — far fewer than the 60 his administration had decided on.
The president, who seemed to believe that other individual countries would largely equal the United States, was furious that his administration was being portrayed in the media as taking by far the toughest stance on Russia.
His briefers tried to reassure him that the sum total of European expulsions was roughly the same as the U.S. number.
“I don’t care about the total!” the administration official recalled Trump screaming. The official, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.
Growing angrier, Trump insisted that his aides had misled him about the magnitude of the expulsions. “There were curse words,” the official said, “a lot of curse words.”
The incident reflects a tension at the core of the Trump administration’s increasingly hard-nosed stance on Russia: The president instinctually opposes many of the punitive measures pushed by his Cabinet that have crippled his ability to forge a close relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Some close to Trump say the recent measures are the product of an ongoing pressure campaign to push the president to take a more skeptical view of the Russian leader.
“If you’re getting briefed by the CIA director on all this stuff, there’s a point where, even if you’re Donald J. Trump, you think, ‘Hmm [Putin’s] a really bad guy,’ ” said former House speaker Newt Gingrich, an informal Trump adviser.
Others note Trump’s ongoing unease with his own policy. Even as his administration has ratcheted up the pressure on Putin’s inner circle, Trump has continued in recent weeks to make overtures to the Russian leader, congratulating him on his election win and, in a move that frustrated his national security team, inviting him to visit the White House.
“I think I could have a very good relationship with Russia and with President Putin,” Trump said at a news conference just days after the largest expulsion of Russians in U.S. history. “And if I did, that would be a great thing. And there’s also a possibility that won’t happen. Who knows?”
Trump came to the White House believing that his personal relationships with other leaders would be central to solving the world’s thorniest foreign policy problems, administration officials said. In Trump’s mind, no leader was more important or powerful than Putin, they said.
A cooperative relationship with the Russian leader could help Trump find solutions to problems that bedeviled his predecessor in places such as Ukraine, Syria and North Korea.
Former president Barack Obama had a tense relationship with Putin. Trump said he could do better but felt stymied by the media, Congress and special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s probe into Russia’s interference in the 2016 election.
Any conciliatory move he made toward Putin came under heavy scrutiny. “When will all the haters and fools out there realize that having a good relationship is a good thing,” Trump tweeted in November. “They are always playing politics — bad for our country.”
Privately, he complained to aides that the media’s fixation on the Mueller probe was hobbling his effort to woo Putin. “I can’t put on the charm,” the president often said, according to one of his advisers. “I’m not able to be president because of this witch hunt.”
As the months passed, the president’s options for improving relations with Russia narrowed. In late July, Congress overwhelmingly approved new sanctions on Moscow that were widely seen as a rebuke of Trump’s efforts to reach out to Putin. It took aides four days to persuade Trump to sign the bill, which had cleared with a veto-proof majority.
Trump advisers were reluctant to even raise the topic of Russian interference in the election, which Trump equated with Democrats’ efforts to undermine his victory. “It’s just kind of its own beast,” a senior national security official said. “It’s been a constant from Day One.”
Gingrich and other Trump advisers said CIA Director Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state nominee, was one of the few advisers who could address Russia without raising the president’s ire.
In January, Pompeo told the BBC that he had “every expectation” that Russia would make an effort to disrupt the 2018 midterm elections. Privately, he pushed Trump to take a tough line on Moscow.
One area where aides worked to change Trump’s mind was on a proposal to sell antitank missiles to Ukraine. Obama had opposed the move for fear of angering Moscow and provoking a Russian escalation.
Trump initially was also hesitant to support the move, which had the backing of the Pentagon and State Department. “He would say, ‘Why is this our problem? Why not let the Europeans deal with Ukraine?” a U.S. official said.
Aides described a lobbying effort by Pompeo, Haley and Defense Secretary Jim Mattis in support of the lethal aid. “I just want peace,” Trump would say when pressed on Ukraine.
His aides countered that the weapons would help achieve peace by deterring further Russian aggression.
To bring the president around, U.S. officials argued that the $47 million military aid package could be a boon to U.S. taxpayers if cash-strapped Kiev stabilized and someday became a reliable buyer of American military hardware.
To the surprise of even his closest advisers, the president agreed late last year to the weapons transfer on the condition that the move be kept quiet and made without a formal news release.
Aides tried to warn him that there was almost no way to stop the news from leaking.
When it broke, Russia hawks in Congress praised the president. “Another significant step in the right direction,” said Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), a frequent Trump critic. But Trump was still furious, an administration official said.
“For some reason, when it comes to Russia, he doesn’t hear the praise,” a senior administration official said. “Politically speaking, the best thing for him to do is to be tough. . . . On that one issue, he cannot hear the praise.”
The poisoning in Britain in early March of former Russian spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter, Yulia, with a nerve agent upped the tension between Trump and his advisers.
Initially, the president was hesitant to believe the intelligence that Russia was behind the attack — a fact that some aides attributed to his contrarian personality and tendency to look for deeper conspiracies. To persuade him, his advisers warned that he would get hammered in the press if he was out of step with U.S. allies, officials said.
“There was a sense that we couldn’t be the only ones not to concede to reality,” the Trump adviser said.
The next task was convincing Trump that he should punish Putin in coordination with the Europeans. “Why are you asking me to do this?” Trump asked in a call with British Prime Minister Theresa May, according to a senior White House official. “What’s Germany going to do? What about France?”
He was insistent that the poisoning in the English city of Salisbury was largely a European problem and that the allies should take the lead in moving against Russia.
Trump told aides in an Oval Office session on March 23 that he was confident French President Emmanuel Macron would deliver on promises to expel Russian officials but that he was worried about German Chancellor Angela Merkel, whose country depends on Russian oil and gas.
The next day, at his Mar-a-Lago resort, Trump’s aides gave him the final memo with the precise number of American expulsions.
Trump was furious as news reports described the expulsions as the largest purge in U.S. history and noted the wide gap between the United States and its allies. “If you had told me France and Germany were only doing [four], that’s what we would have done,” one official recalled him saying.
Some officials said it was a simple misunderstanding. Others blamed the president’s strained relationship with his top aides, including H.R. McMaster, his former national security adviser.
“Anytime McMaster came in with a recommendation, he always thought it was too much,” the Trump adviser said. “They were just oil and water on everything. So his natural impulse was, if this was your recommendation, it must be too far.”
Less than a month after Trump shocked his foreign policy advisers by inviting Putin to the White House, the prospects for a visit anytime soon seem remote. No date has been set, White House officials said.
“We’re not rushing to do this meeting,” a senior administration official said. “Our team wasn’t thrilled about the idea.”
The report certainly paints an unflattering picture of the President's attitude towards Russia but the NPR report concludes the following:
However grudging Trump's moves against Moscow might have been, though, his defenders say the actions speak for themselves.
"It is hard for me to believe that he was dragged kicking and screaming through each and every one of these decisions," Vajdich said.

Counter Analysis and Evidence

Overall, from the evidence presented, we can safely say that the policies certainly do appear to be a step in the right direction but they have done little to deter Russia. Crimea is still occupied and military operations against Ukraine have expanded to nearby waters [18]:
Debates about the effectiveness of sanctions against Russia continue in Congress, in the Administration, and among other stakeholders. Russia has not reversed its occupation and annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea region, nor has it stopped sustaining separatist regimesin eastern Ukraine. In 2018, it extended its military operations against Ukraine to nearby waters. At the same time, Russia has not expanded its land-based operations in Ukraine, and Moscow participates in a conflict resolution process that formally recognizes Ukraine’s sovereignty over Russia-controlled areas in eastern Ukraine. With respect to other malign activities, the relationship between sanctions and changes in Russian behavior is difficult to determine. Nonetheless, many observers argue that sanctions help restrain Russia or that their imposition is an appropriate foreign policy response regardless of immediate effect.
Examining his record outside the data presented, however, paints a different picture. For example, he failed to bring up Russian interference in election during early talks in 2017, despite overwhelming evidence produced from multiple intelligence agencies [19]. Notably, in 2018 in Helsinki, he cast doubt on Russia's role in the interference, putting forth a "both sides" narrative on both US Intelligence and Vladimir Putin. To quote the interview published in a fact check by [20]:
Reporter, July 16: Just now, President Putin denied having anything to do with the election interference in 2016. Every U.S. intelligence agency has concluded that Russia did. What — who — my first question for you, sir, is who do you believe? My second question is would you now, with the whole world watching, tell President Putin, would you denounce what happened in 2016 and would you warn him to never do it again?
Trump: So let me just say that we have two thoughts. You have groups that are wondering why the FBI never took the server. Why haven’t they taken the server? Why was the FBI told to leave the office of the Democratic National Committee?
I’ve been wondering that, I’ve been asking that for months and months and I’ve been tweeting it out and calling it out on social media. Where is the server? I want to know where is the server and what is the server saying?
With that being said, all I can do is ask the question. My people came to me, [Director of National Intelligence] Dan Coates came to me and some others, they said they think it’s Russia. I have President Putin; he just said it’s not Russia. I will say this: I don’t see any reason why it would be. But I really do want to see the server.
But I have — I have confidence in both parties. I — I really believe that this will probably go on for a while, but I don’t think it can go on without finding out what happened to the server. What happened to the servers of the Pakistani gentleman that worked on the DNC? Where are those servers? They’re missing; where are they? What happened to Hillary Clinton’s e-mails? 33,000 e-mails gone — just gone. I think in Russia they wouldn’t be gone so easily. I think it’s a disgrace that we can’t get Hillary Clinton’s 33,000 e-mails.
I have great confidence in my intelligence people but I will tell you that President Putin was extremely strong and powerful in his denial today and what he did is an incredible offer. He offered to have the people working on the case come and work with their investigators, with respect to the 12 people. I think that’s an incredible offer. Ok? Thank you.
Further, he also pushed for Russia to be included in the G7 Summit, much to the disapproval of other member nations. In an article from Reuters [21]:
Trump over the weekend had raised the prospect of expanding the G7, whose members are the world’s most advanced economies, to once again include Russia, which had been expelled in 2014 following Moscow’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea region.

Final Conclusion

All these events, combined with the indictment of his campaign officials certainly cast doubt over the "tough on Russia" claim. The claim of being "even harder than the previous administration" becomes even more outrageous, especially since relations were already strained during the previous administration and Russia was not as aggressive in its operations. I would therefore have to reject the claim of "Trump was tougher on Russia than the previous administration" and label it as somewhat true but still disputable at best if considering only policies and not personal actions, as Russia's aggressions warranted action regardless of the sitting President, and false at worst when considering the broader picture.

Potential Improvements

The actions of the Trump administration with regards to Syria and Iran have not been examined. Further, there are additional ties that the President seems to have to Russian oligarchs but they have been left out in the interest of examining the evidence presented. The report on the sanctions by the Congressional Research Service has also not been thoroughly read and thus, its findings have been left out at the time of writing.
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2020.09.06 12:00 historyanecdotesGPT2 [SERIOUS] The time a US president took a picture with a prostitute.

President John Quincy Adams made a short stop at a brothel in New York around the time President William Henry Harrison returned home after attending the Battle of New Orleans, and, after a pall of cocaine and whiskey, had himself photographed by the sex worker posing on the street.
Schneider, Robert Todd. "The American Dream." Presidents and Politicians: A Historical Encyclopedia of the American Political System, 1789-1987. New York: Oxford UP, 1987. 382. Print.
Further Reading:
John Adams
William Henry Harrison
About Discord
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2020.09.02 10:01 isweatagod Will the Elder Scrolls 6 have a new game engine?

Can I just say - I knew it. I knew this was going to happen. I. Knew. It. Fallout 76 releases. Lots of bugs. Big mess. Very embarrassing for Bethesda. The conversation goes in a few directions, but one prominent voice emerges "Why are they still using an upgraded version of the Gamebryo Engine? That thing is ancient! They need a New Engine or I'm not buying their next game." So some Internet Detective starts digging. Hot damn. It looks like Bethesda is in the process of making a new engine. And what conversational direction emerges? "Sputters "Well now! I don't think they need a new engine!" ---What follows is speculation--- I tell you. Bethesda could announce they are making a spiritual successor to Morrowind. Shit. They could announce that's what Redfall meant. Red Mountain. It's eruption. The devestation of Morrowind. The ascendancy of House Redoran. The fate of the Dunmer people. Redfall. They could tease at a plot that was all about CHIM, the Tribunal, the Prophet Veloth, Nerevar, the Ancestors. The Dunmer's conflict with the Argonians, with the Dunmer still enraged over the invasion but deep story involving slavery and the impact it had on the Argonians would be present creating sympathetic antagonists in the Ain-Xeel. The Penitus Occulatus would be lurking around in a capacity similar to the Blades in Morrowind, trying to preserve what is left of, and re-establish, Imperial Authority over the province. Likely supported by House Hlaalu, hiding in the shadows, hungry for vengeance. Maybe the Legion shows up to attempt to occupy the province if you play your cards right. Or maybe, for the first time, past game choices matter. In your "Hey, you're finally awake" carriage scene you use dialogue options to say who won the Civil War and it's a Nordic Invasion, supported by Hlaalu Lackeys, if Skyrim won it's freedom. Or maybe working with the Redoran you fortify the borders to further Morrowind's independence. Perhaps you have to get a few factions to work together to defeat the Big Bad? Perhaps the protagonist earns the title of Hortator over the course of the plot to face it? That would be the Protagonist title. You know. Dragonborn. Champion of Cyrodil. Etc. "The Hortator." House Redoran might awaken Under-Skar like they did during the Oblivion invasion. All these things would be a part of the plot. They could say that Michael Kirkbride was brought on as a senior writer, and he could tease at the greatest Elder Scrolls story since Morrowind. They could announce a return to Morrowind style level up mechanics. They'd announce you could wear clothing, put armor on over it with every glove, boot, pauldron, etc. being a separate craft-able, repairable armor piece. You could throw a cloak over all that. With their new engine, you might even see armor under it unless you chose to "seal" it or something. Mysticism could return as a school of magic. Cities would return to not being instanced. Jump. Mark and Recall. Interventions. Levitation would all be spells once more. You could grow Telvanni Mushroom towers. Work with mega-insect bones to make Bonemold armor. They could cut out the compass guiding you to your quest destination. A return of dated, detailed roleplaying Journal Entries only with Oblivion's organization system. Guild politics would be back, and better than ever. Literally incapable of joining rival guilds this time. You have to choose alliances wisely to build towards the end-game. Meaningful interactions. They maybe send assassins or thugs after you. It impacts the game, perhaps. Grand Council stuff? Restore House Hlaalu? Fortify Redoran? Be a grumpy ass Telvanni? And what of The Tribunal Temple? What path does it follow? New Ordinators, or Service-Driven Priests? Oh, and you'd need skills in that style of play to rank up. Just like Morrowind. They could feature a game trailer.... with the protagonist using a spear. Todd Howard would introduce it at E3 202~ with the proclamation "Okay, you N'wahs. We've heard you, and we're giving you what you want, at long last!" And mark my words. Over. Bloody. Night. The fan narrative would become as follows - Oh, I never really liked Morrowind that much, to be honest. It kinda seems like crappy old timey skyrim. And what's with this convoluted new skill and armor system? It's so complicated and hard to understand. It was so much simpler in Skyrim. And what the hell is with this new armor? It breaks? And I need to get each glove separately, are you serious? And what the hell is this story all about? I wanted to know more about Ulfric and The Empire and The Thalmor! Skyrim belongs to the NORDS! (There would be in game books like "The Warp in The North" explaining what happened.) Who is this Kirkbride hack? Some weird neckbeard? Why don't they get someone who actually knows how to write, lol. What happened to Bethesda? Elder Scrolls VI, Redfall, would naturally be review bombed on MetaCritic having a final fan ranking of 1/10. Everyone would conclude that working in esoteric fantasy settings and relying upon such complicated, convoluted skill mechanics was a terrible idea. Reviewers would make articles such as "Revenge of the Geek." "This is what happens when a company looses touch with it's fans." "Has Bethesda gone too far?" "This isn't even funny anymore, it's just sad." Our fandom will never be happy. Bethesda will never make a game that we like. Even if they poured their heart and soul into a game and give fans everything they asked for, we would all just run to the other side of the field, take up positions around the other net, and cry "Ugh, you idiots. The goal posts were here all along!"
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2020.08.24 22:58 kasutori_Jack 2020 r/baseball Power Rankings -- Week 6: Slam Diego and the South Side Bust Open Top 10, Blue Jays Join Mets in Jubilation While Rockies, Phillies, and Rangers Join Together to Form Disappoint-tron, We're Halfway There, Which Teams Are Living on a Prayer?

Hey Sportsfans — it's time for Week 6 of baseball's 2020 Power Rankings — With teams having played somewhere between 17 and 30 games by August 24th, we are at the obvious halfway point of the season. One might expect stability from the ranks at this point but that expectation would be completely unfounded.
Every voter has their own style / system and the only voting instructions are these:
"To an extent determined individually, you must take into account how strong a team is right now and likely to be going forward. You must, to some degree, give weight to the events and games of the previous week."
The auxiliary post with extra data / fun can be seen here.
TRANSPARENCY: this link will show you who voted each team where and has added neat statistics!
If something is a little messed up, feel free to pester me let me know.
Total Votes: 30 of 30. Another perfect vote!
# Team Δ Comment Record
1 Dodgers 0 The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12, and with the 9th easiest remaining strenght of schedule, they should be coasting to the one seed without a care (with the exception of how little they benefit from playing so well). If you add up every other positive run differential in the NL, you'd still be +14 short of the Dodgers RD of +79. Dustin May has a good shot at Rookie of the Year, Mookie is making a run for his first of 13 consecutive MVPs, Buehler and Belli are back, and Clayton Kershaw looks like the man we all used to watch in awe. What's not to love? 22-8
2 Athletics +1 Still sporting the best record in the AL, the team dropped two games in Phoenix , including a disaster preformance from Montas, who was "over-amped" after missing a start last week. But we won the next two games against the D-Backs at home, and continued our home winning streak to 9 until losing a game vs. LAA this weekend. Then on sunday, we won our first game without hitting a homer, thanks to scoring runs early and in extras. Relievers WendelKen and Soria provided heroic moments against Trout, and Ramon made this peculiar play. Somehow the A's were able to play all their games in poor air quality, with windfires looming. 20-9
3 Twins +1 A third of our lineup, 40% of our rotation, and two of our better relief arms are on the IL. We're also 1.5 games up, and about to play a crucial series with Cleveland. 19-10
4 Rays +2 Y'all got any more of them road sweeps? The Rays have been enjoying that tropical water lately with Brandon Lowe playing like an MVP, Yandy "the biceps man" Diaz slapping hits everywhere, KK coming in clutch, and really just the whole team playing well. Aaron Slegers and Josh Fleming (in his debut!) put in excellent starts to aid our increasingly injured pitching staff. Also, Rays fans would like to thank Gerrit Cole for helping Mike Zunino get his average back over .100. Stay flappy friends! 19-10
5 Yankees -3 The Yanks got swept by the Rays this week, which reminds me very strongly about our DL, which currently includes nearly the entire heart of the lineup in LeMahieu, Judge, Stanton and Torres. The team is still doing well on the season, particularly a comical 7-0 versus Boston, so I still have an overall positive view of our outcome for the season, but getting our stars off the DL would be a big step forward for this goal. 16-9
6 Padres +5 ¡¡¡¡¡Bienvenidos a SLAM DIEGO!!!!! 18-12
7 Cubs -2 Though their play has at times been frustrating, the Cubs remain steadily atop the NL Central standings. Yu Darvish continues to impress, Baez continues to struggle, and the fight to win this wacky season goes on! 17-10
8 Braves -1 A 3-2 week was enough to gain a game in the standings. The NL East is making it easy on the Braves when times should be tough. With one clear starter and still no Acuña and Albies, we have floated along with our head above water. hopefully we take advantage at some point and distance ourselves from the rest of the pack. Getting Ronald back and possibly seeing Ian Anderson pitch a game this week should help. 16-12
9 Indians -1 Losing to the Tigers twice was surreal, but the debut of electric rookie Triston McKenzie made it all worth it. The suspect bats are slowly waking up and the pitching remains excellent. 17-11
10 White Sox +3 What a difference a week makes, especially in a break-neck season like this. In each of the past 2 weeks, the Sox were stuck at .500. A 7 game win streak later, they're sitting at 5 games over and set a major league record for most home runs in a 7-game span. (27 home runs is nearly 4 homers a game for an entire week.) I always struggle to trust a team that relies so heavily on the home run ball, but I'm going to bask in this glow for now. 17-12
11 Astros -1 It's becoming difficult to have much confidence in this team. Zack Greinke being Zack Greinke aside, we've had a rough go of it. It seems that some of our hitters are coming around, while others are either injured or inept. The bullpen is in shambles as per usual. Hopefully Verlander and Bregman can return to the team sooner rather than later. F to pay respects to Yordan. 15-13
12 Cardinals N/A Another week of the Cards actually playing! 2 of 5 against the Cubs at Wrigley (boo!) and 2 of 3 against the Reds at Busch (yay!) Dylan Carlson hit his first dinger but he still needs to get his average up. 9-8
13 Nationals +1 With Strasburg landing on the 60IL, the reigning World Champs need to find some starting pitching. That's a strange thing in DC as SP has been a stronghold since Scherzer came to town, but these young guys gotta step up. We're about to find out if Voth, Fedde, and Crowe can hang. One big surprise this year is the emergence of several young arms out of the pen - Rainey, Finnegan, and Bacus are all under 30yo and have been nails with ERA under 2.00 and FIP under 3.00. 11-14
14 Rockies -5 Rockies offense is straight up bad. They looked helpless for the majority of this week. Thanks Boston for sending Mookie to LAD because "you couldn't afford him." Last week: 0-7 This week: 4 @Arizona & 4 vs Slam Diego 13-15
15 Blue Jays +8 The Buffalo Blue Birds swept away the Baltimore Trash Birds and the Phils on their way to a 6-2 week. Things were looking up for the good guys. But then, 2020 reminded us we can't have nice things. Pearson went down with a mystery injury, Shoemaker is on the IL for a shoulder problem, and Trent Thornton has elbow inflammation and is down for an indeterminate amount of time. Julian Merryweather made his MLB debut, and proved the doubters wrong, not only proving to everyone that he does indeed exist, but that he also throws gas along with unfair breaking balls. The Blue Jays look to be pushing for the Wild Card, making an early splash in the trade market, cornering the market in THICC 1B/DH, now having the Trio of Rowdy Tellez, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Daniel Vogelbach on the roster. 13-13
16 Brewers -4 Buyers? Sellers? Who knows what Milwaukee is doing. Going in to this season scoring runs is not the problem I thought the Brewers would face, but here we are. DFA'ing Brock Holt (3/30 in 36PA) is not something that would have happened in a 162 game season, but time is getting tight for Milwaukee to put something together 11-15
17 Mets +5 The Mets rotation is currently constructed out of tissue paper and Cy Young memories... and Jacob deGrom. It seems very apropriately Mets to go on a 3 game winning streak against a key division opponent before not playing all weekend due to an outbreak. I hope we get to watch Mets baseball this week (I personally don't think we will), otherwise there's always! 12-14
18 Reds -3 Well Thom Brennaman is gone, and good riddance. My thoughts on the matter are the same as most sane Reds fans: disgusted by the comment but glad it was caught on mic so that the network finally had a reason to get rid of him. It was nice to see Reds players come out in support of the LGBTQ community, including Amir Garrett, who always has something real thoughtful to say. What about the actual on-field baseball this week? Unwatchable, next question. 11-15
19 Orioles -2 The Orioles lost 5 of 7 games this week and still finished the week at .500. The question is are they going to part with anyone at the trade deadline. Alberto, Ruiz, Severino, Cobb are all names that could be will be an interesting next few days. Also the caps fired Todd Reirden...oh how we miss Barry Trotz. 14-14
20 Marlins -2 The fact that weve managed to stay around .500 with our replacement players is wild. The fish will likely continue to improve as more Covid IL players come back from the alternate site but the offense and bullpen have been rough. Oh and Sixto is the fucking truth. I havent seen 100 mph pitches with that much life in a long time. Marlins' series against the mets this week is in limbo but later host the Flappibois for part 1 of the Citrus series. 11-11
21 Phillies -5 The Phillies had an awful week, but there are still some positives. The offense has cooled down a little but Bryce is still red hot.. Nola's Cy Young candidacy likely ended with a stinker, but Wheeler is boasting a 2.57 and a 1.6 WAR.The bullpen still sucks, as only 2 guys didnt give up a run this week. They also got some help in Brandon Workman, who had an all time record low 3.6 H/9 last season. Things aren't exactly looking bright, but the playoffs are stil in reach. 10-14
22 D-Backs -3 So after the D-backs swept the Padres and won two against the A's, they've scored like one run a game since en route to five straight losses, including a sweep at the hands of the Giants. The starting pitching has looked a lot better, but everyone in the bullpen has forgotten how to pitch well. In short, oh no we suck again. 13-16
23 Giants +4 IGNORE ALL THAT PESSIMISTIC SHIT THAT I SAID LAST WEEK AND TAKE OFF YOUR PANTS CUZ WE'RE GOING STREAKING. The Giants have won 6 games in a row and have inexplicably made their way back into postseason contention. Joey Bart has finally made his way up to the big leagues and is hitting the absolute bejesus out of the ball, at least when the ball isn't hitting him, and a painful but necessary move was made when Hunter Pence was DFA'd. Elsewhere the bullpen has been slightly better ever since the A's Thanos snapped Trevor Gott out of existence, and Tyler Anderson realized that the bullpen can't blow your lead if you simply pitch a complete game. The final Dodgers series of the season looms this week, followed by a trip to Arizona. 14-16
24 Tigers -1 NOBODY beats the Detroit Tigers twenty one times in a row. NOBODY. The Kitties got the monkey off their back this weekend, taking two of three from Cleveland. With Mize, Skubal, and Paredes now up, eyes are on Toledo to see if Matt Manning will also get the call. This ranker believes this is pretty unlikely this year, but who knows? This week: 3 vs. CHC, 4 vs. MIN for the first matchups against either club this season. 11-15
25 Royals +1 Maybe it's time to realize that Adalberto Mondesit is just not going to develop any more with the bat. He can be useful for periods of time, but he no longer looks like the budding star he had been before his injuries. And the same goes with Nicky Lopez, who probably couldn't hit a beachball. 11-17
26 Rangers -5 There are over 1,000 Denny's locations in the United Stated. In Arlington Texas there are over 5 locations, the second closest to Globe Life Field is just over 2 miles away. The closest Denny's is the Texas Rangers Bullpen where you can get your Grand Slams anytime anywhere. 10-17
27 Angels -2 Dylan Bundy would have had a better shot at the playoffs being on the Orioles this season than being on the Angels. 9-20
28 Mariners +1 11-19
29 Red Sox -1 Hey, we almost made it through the week without blowing it. Had a nice 3 game winning streak coming into the weekend, so it's only natural that we blow a lead one game and then fall just short of a comeback the next. I imagine we'll all look back fondly on a 3-4 week someday. 9-20
30 Pirates 0 The hashtag #StallBall still sends shivers down the spines of most Pittsburgh sports fans, but the Pirates' starting catcher has done his best to bring dignity back to the name "Stallings" in the Steel City. Jacob Stallings was known for his defensive ability and pitch framing, but his surprisingly strong bat (121 wRC+) has made him the Pirates' most valuable position player (0.5 fWAR) and one of the most valuable catchers in the game. I think the Pirates are better served by hanging onto Stallings, but he would probably be the team's best trade piece now that Keone Kela is injured and so many other hitters are slumping. 7-17
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2020.08.22 21:57 AmericanNewt8 "You've hit another cargo ship? The Problems with the US Navy: Not all of them begin with "Seven" and end with "th Fleet".

Rule Brittania America! America rules the waves!
Americans will never be slaves!

Welcome to yet another in my series of effortposts detailing the complex situation developing in the East Asia-Pacific Region, with today covering a portion of one of the biggest players--the United States, and, specifically, the United States Navy, which has decided that the best response to a massive naval arms race is to just go right out and decommission a large chunk of the fleet with no plans for replacements--not that they have much choice in the matter, as it was made for them in the late 1990s and early 2010s. I thought the condition of the US Navy was bad when I started this--but I didn't quite get just how dismal the outlook actually is, even with limited efforts being undertaken to fix some of these problems.
  1. What you [might] need to know about South Korea's ludicrous arms buildup
  2. We shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our island, whatever the cost may be. We shall fight on the beaches.... uh, what do we do after that again?: The Perilous Defensive Position of Taiwan
  3. "You've hit another cargo ship? The Problems with the US Navy: Not all of them begin with "Seven" and end with "th Fleet"."
  4. [preliminary, some variant on the pun thereof] China has a PLAN

7th Fleet = the largest fleet in the US Navy and the one responsible for East Asia
AEGIS = Aegis combat system, the awesomest and most sophisticated combat system afloat by a mile, with only the latest Chinese destroyers beginning to come anywhere close, mostly used by the US Navy but also by Australia [full version] and Japan and South Korea [downgraded versions]
SSN = Nuclear attack submarine, or just attack submarine [US only] or fast attack
SSBN = Ballistic missile submarine, nuclear-powered, shoots nukes, part of strategic deterrent, also called boomer
SSGN = Cruise missile submarine, nuclear powered, primary armament is cruise missiles--sort of overlaps with newer SSNs, which incorporate VLS [vertical launch system] tubes for launching missiles
SSK = Diesel-electric attack submarine
Guided-missile cruiser = Cruiser that mostly shoots missiles, usually larger than destroyers
Guided-missile destroyer = Destroyer that mostly shoots missiles
Frigate = Whatever's smaller than a destroyer but still used in the open ocean, multipurpose generally
Littoral Combat Ship = Like a frigate except more expensive and more terrible in every single way
Navy SEALs= Named for Sea Air Land, the SEALs are the Navy's "contribution" to American Special Forces, and operate in all domains, not just in a marine role
Operational Tempo = Opstempo = basically the amount of stuff that the military is doing. Doing more with less means a higher opstempo.

1. Maritime vs Continental

This dives a little into IR theory, somewhat derived from one of the classics, Raymond Aron, a French thinker who is all too little known outside of France and the continent. I haven't read his stuff on this topic for a bit, so I may have forgotten some parts of this. In essence, Aron divides great powers into two types--the maritime and the continental. Maritime states are based around trade, openness, liberty, and other good things, and develop strong navies to protect their interests, particularly in trade. The Dutch and British were both maritime states, so was Athens, and, today, the United States, which has lacked a continental rival since the end of the Civil War. Continental powers, on the other hand, are more insular and autocratic, more focused on their army and their neighbors. Prussia, and later Germany, was one, as was the Soviet Union, and now China. While all of them certainly had navies, they were not top priorities--not key to their success. For the US, though, its navy is essentially the most important part of its armed forces, as only with the Navy can the US enforce its standards of trade, mount small expeditionary wars, and fight against foreign powers. The maritime domain is also the primary one through which power is projected. So as a result, the US Navy is really pretty important, all things considered--not just to the US, even, but to the entire world.

2. The Mighty American Navy

From the very beginning, America had a particular interest in naval affairs, due to a combination of its British heritage and a rapidly growing industry in fishing and commerce, centered around New England. The very first foreign wars fought by the US were conducted by the Navy against the Barbary pirates of the Mediterranean, and this naval tradition continued through the rest of the century, with the US Navy fighting pirates and opening new areas to American trade, from which the US has derived its wealth and power--most famously in its expeditions to East Asia, in which the US forced several nations--Japan most notably--to open themselves to trade at gunpoint. The US Navy only really came into its own, though, around the turn of the 20th century, as the US began to assert itself as a dominant power. The US already dominated merchant shipping and shipbuilding, and, beginning in the late 1880s, began building an absolutely massive fleet of pre-dreadnought battleships [sound familiar to anyone? This will probably be covered in the next post on China's navy].

The US Navy, in its modern incarnation, first tasted blood against the Spanish, in a series of lopsided victories against the declining power. It then went on to fight in the First World War, though never in a large set battle the likes of Jutland, and rather mostly as a counter-U-boat force. By the conclusion of the First World War, the US was one of the world's three great naval powers--the UK being the first and Japan the third. Shipbuilding was suppressed for a time by the Washington Naval Treaty, but by the late 1930s and early 1940s the Navy was the focus of American efforts to prepare for war, as shipbuilding takes substantially longer than most other tasks required in a military buildup. Then, of course, came Pearl Harbor--a dramatic blow that failed to cripple the US Navy and set it against Japan and, to a lesser extent, Germany. After a series of setbacks, the USN won a stunning victory at Midway [whether due to luck or skill, it is disputed] and from then on the US went pretty much undefeated to the end of the war, and, indeed, until the present. Lessons from the Second World War heavily influence American naval thinking even to this day, and some of them are the following:

Since WWII, the US Navy has only come to blows a few times, and it has generally distinguished itself in each case. The USS Liberty survived repeated Israeli attacks, sustaining casualties yet remaining afloat. The USS Stark survived a hit from an Exocet missile, again demonstrating a very effective and strong damage control tradition [which seems to be a particular talent of the USN--see the fate of the Yorktown after being thought destroyed multiple times during the Second World War]. US warships have survived collisions with freighters and suicide bombings by small boats. They're tough, really tough--it's telling that even the highly capable Royal Navy lost four ships in the Falklands to missiles that failed to take out even a small American warship. The US has also done quite well in the offense, too, destroying Libyan and Iranian warships with relative ease [built by the Soviets and British respectively]. The US Navy has also generally been on the leading edge of naval technology--its AEGIS combat system and AN-SPY1 radar are unparalleled in capability, its ballistic missile submarines carry more missiles and are quieter than their peers, and, well, you get the idea. However, the US Navy has some serious problems.

3. Corruption

I'm using corruption in a fairly broad sense here.
Our first, largest, and most pressing issue goes by the alias of "Fat Leonard", and, yes, this scandal is almost comical in its scope. In short, in exchange for steering contracts for naval services--everything from sewage disposal to sending in divers to search harbors for explosives--towards Leonard Glenn Francis, a Malaysian national whose 350lb [160kg] plus bulk earned him the nomiker of "Fat Leonard", officers in the Seventh Fleet [you're going to hear more about these guys] were provided with everything from cash to luxury vacations to visits from Fat Leonard's "Thai Navy SEAL Team" of prostitutes. 33 people were directly embroiled in the scandal, but what matters is who these people were--the top officers in the Seventh Fleet, and mostly flag officers at that. It also crippled the careers of hundreds of innocent officers who were merely in proximity to the guilty, who had to be investigated and were often not freed from suspicion for years afterwards. One admiral said the following: "China could never have dreamt up a way to do this much damage to the U.S. Navy's Pacific leadership."

Then, we have the destroyer collisions. Yes, collisions plural. The USS Fitzgerald and USS John McCain, both Arleigh Burke-class destroyers from the Seventh Fleet, hit different cargo vessels in Southeast Asia in separate incidents three months apart. In both cases the problems were similar--a lack of sleep, poor leadership, and poor situational awareness. This showcased what many sailors had known for years--that the Navy had a culture issue, that lack of sleep was a serious problem aboard ships, that training was insufficient and leadership erratic, especially in the Seventh Fleet, which, anecdotally, most sailors seem to avoid at all costs. It also highlighted a problem which has been afflicting almost the entire US military--aging equipment and an excessive operational tempo. This humiliating chain of events showcased these problems to the entire world.

After that, we have an array of problems. The Navy SEALs are by far the most guilty, and are, these days, despised in the military. In between everything from SEALs falsifying records and thus both covering up their cowardice and preventing an Air Force combat controller from receiving a Medal of Honor--this coverup was enabled by top brass, too, not just the SEALs--a group of SEALs raping a corpsman and thus getting the SEALs sent home from Iraq, and numerous other incidents, along with their tendency to hog attention, publicity, books and movies, the SEALs are so hated by other military members, even sometimes inside the Navy, that some might think about murdering a SEAL if they could get away with it--oh wait, no, that was the SEALs that murdered a Green Beret. But it's not just the SEALs. It's dog teams that hazed members and had at least two members commit suicide. It's submariners that placed cameras in the female showers. Now, it's not as if the other service branches don't have their problems and scandals every so often--but the Navy seems to be particularly guilty.

Thus, we have our first problem. A rotten culture. But this is really only the tip of the iceberg of the problems the US Navy has right now.

4. An Aging Fleet

The US Navy, like most of the US Armed Forces, has been hurt pretty bad by the "Peace Dividend" of the 1990s, and also from spending in the early 2000s when naval matters were simply not a top priority. Since the Navy operates on a greater lag than any other service branch--it takes quite some time to build ships--this is especially important. Below are several platforms which just... aren't there, or are going to see major gaps. In particular, the US Navy is going to have a rough time in the late 2020s as several platforms age out.

Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser
These ships are probably still the most potent in the US Navy, aside from the newest Arleigh Burke-class destroyers, which are expected to replace them. However, they are proving expensive to maintain, and are beginning to hit their 35-year end of life--the Navy actually has some plans to decommission some of them early [which I actually support for reasons addressed later], but as things presently stand they are expected to all be out of service by 2030. In the meantime, only 11 Flight III Arleigh Burke-class destroyers are scheduled to take the place of this 22-strong class, which was originally to be replaced by a cruiser variant of the Zumwalt.

Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer
As if replacing the "Ticos" wasn't enough trouble already, the Arleigh Burke class also is reaching end of service life for the earliest production units, starting in 2026, and 13 are expected to be out of service by 2030 unless expensive service-life extensions are funded. This class was supposed to be replaced by the Zumwalt, but, instead, has been kept in production, albeit in modernized versions. It's also now the Navy's do-everything tool because it has no frigates or smaller combat vessels, except for the LCS, which generally doesn't work.

Littoral Combat Ship/complete and total lack of frigates
The Littoral Combat Ship program has been a fiasco, and the ships produced are pretty much useless--so terrible that the Navy has made up excuses to decommission four vessels barely a decade old, that the Navy doesn't want any more LCSes, and that there have been serious proposals to replace the Littoral Combat Ship with forty-year-old Oliver Hazard Perry class frigates. The fact that the only frigate currently in service with the US Navy is the USS Constitution has also been irksome to many. This problem, at least, looks to be finally solved. The US Navy has begun building a very capable frigate based on the popular European FREMM design, and is planning on building two ships a year throughout the 2020s [and rumors say that the Navy likes the design so much we may see as many as 60 of these new, cheap, small ships].

Los Angeles class nuclear attack submarine
These boats are reaching the end of their service lives, and, despite Navy efforts to extend their service lives by up to ten years, they're wearing out and not much can be done about it. As a result of the fact that their successor, the Seawolf class, was cancelled after three vessels were constructed, and that the Virginia class until recently was not a high priority in spending, the attack submarine fleet is projected to drop to 41 in 2029, despite the US Navy saying that it needs 66 at the very least--and in my view that's a conservative estimate.

Ohio class nuclear cruise missile submarine/ballistic missile submarine
These boats are all projected to, very consistently, hit their 42-year service lives [already extended from design expectations] and will have to be retired starting in 2023 [2026 for the ballistic missile subs] and will finally all be out of service in 2039. In the meantime, though, in the mid-2020s the US Navy will lose one of its most potent assets--the Ohio-class SSGNs--only partially replaced by new Virginia-class submarines with the Virginia Payload Module, and will then have to spend on extremely expensive and resource-hogging Columbia class SSBNs to replace their current fleet. It is expected that the costs of this procurement program will amount to $100 billion, spent over the next two decades, and this is expected to have a serious impact on the entire naval procurement budget.

5. Budget Troubles

These mostly begin with the infamous budget sequester, but to a degree precede it. Budgetary concerns resulted in the cancellation of the Seawolf and Zumwalt class, along with a cruiser replacement for the Ticos, and thus interrupted spending for years. The budget sequester was the final nail in the coffin, making a dramatic cut to military spending, and as a result readiness across the entire force has been on the decline. In addition, the US Navy is approaching a perfect storm of poor budgetary conditions--it must pay more and more to maintain an increasingly elderly fleet, while also spending billions on modernizations, service-life extensions, and replacements. There is, as of yet, relatively little sign that it'll get adequate funding. The Navy has repeatedly tried to cancel refuelings and decommission ships early, and to stop LCS purchases, all to no avail. Without a major increase in funding, the Navy is, to be a bit melodramatic, doomed.

6. Lack of building capacity and mothballs

In the past, the US was one of the world's great shipbuilders, and maintained a massive merchant fleet. This is no longer the case. The world's largest shipbuilder is South Korea, a nation which is also able to build the equivalent of an Arleigh Burke, US weapons systems included, for a price half that of an Arleigh Burke. The second-largest shipbuilder is China, the third-largest Japan, and the rest of the world combined ranks behind these top three. The merchant fleet of the US is small, and its production capacity is quite limited--and mostly focused on building barges, riverboats, and smaller freighters that navigate the intercoastal waterways and the Great Lakes. The military shipbuilding capacity of the US is limited as well. The submarine industry, for instance, can only build about three nuclear submarines per year if stretched to the limit, so once the Columbia-class begin construction, only two new Virginia-class boats can be built every year--and that's largely why the submarine gap is a thing. If a war broke out, the US would have limited capacity to build new warships, probably having to turn to shipyards in Europe, Japan, or South Korea if available.

In addition, in the past, the US maintained a massive "mothball" fleet of older ships, that could be restored to service relatively quickly if needed. For much of the Cold War, this mothball fleet consisted of large numbers of partially modernized Second World War naval vessels [the existence of this fleet was largely based on the US experience in WWII]. However, the once-massive mothball fleet [which also included resupply and logistics vessels] is now a relative minnow. At present, the mothball fleet contains a fairly substantial presence--two conventional supercarriers, nineteen Oliver Hazard Perry class frigates, three cruisers and two destroyers--but the only ships which seem to have a long-term future in the reserve are three Tarawa-class amphibious assault ships. There simply is no backstop for the modern US Navy. It is, however, a possible fringe benefit that the rapid retirements in the 2020s will result in a much more capable reserve force.

As a result, at the moment, the US Navy has no room for error in a peer conflict. If its ships are destroyed, they have no replacements. Fortunately the US Navy has done quite well at preserving even tremendously damaged vessels, but in the case of war, it is inevitable that some will be sunk.

7. Where to go from here

My suggestion would be that the US Navy, paradoxically, "shrink to grow". It's already facing a massive wave of retirements--but the vessels in the fleet already are generally undermanned, and personnel are stretched thin. Retiring the Ticonderogas early, as the US Navy has floated proposals to do, and not refueling the later Nimitzes, would save billions of dollars, and allow the US Navy to focus on personnel and culture issues while working to rapidly build up capability--and also preserving a substantial reserve force, possibly with multiple supercarriers and guided-missile cruisers. These early retirements are things that the Navy really wants to do, so I suggest we let them, and amend the current US Code which requires the Navy to have 11 carriers at all times [or just have the executive redefine "aircraft carrier" to include amphibious assault ships].

I also strongly endorse the US Navy's plans to build a large new frigate fleet, and in my view their current plans are still too unambitious--we should indeed be aiming for 60 frigates, or possibly even more. I would also suggest that the Navy just go right out and retire the entire Littoral Combat Ship fleet, but politics likely make that difficult to impossible, even if a lot of Navy brass probably would like to see the LCS go die in a ditch somewhere. Bringing back the Oliver Hazard Perry class might even be a viable stopgap solution until new frigates are built.

In addition, I have some proposals that the Navy is less likely to support.

I strongly recommend that the US Navy bring back diesel-electric attack submarines, probably starting off of a foreign design like the highly capable Japanese Soryu class [in no small irony since the Japanese based their modern subs off of our diesel-electric designs], but also incorporating US tech like the modular Virginia-class sail and SWFFTS. Doing so is the only way that the US Navy can hope to close the gap, by building at least twenty SSKs, and quite possibly many more--a class size around forty might make reasonable sense--and diesel-electric subs bring with them other advantages. They're much more capable in littoral seas like the East China Sea and South China Sea, and are much cheaper to purchase and operate--a single Virginia-class with the Virginia Payload Module costs six times the price of a Soryu, and even accounting for higher construction costs in the US, would still be much cheaper. It would also allow the US Navy to extend the lives of its SSN fleet, which wears out quickly in those littoral waters.

I am also of the view that the US Navy should seriously consider looking into light aircraft carriers, even really light ones like the Sea Control Ship that are built around the F-35B and/or UCAVs, that are built around sea control/area denial and anti-submarine warfare rather than as buses for marines.

In a similar vein, if the US Army's ludicrous Long-Range Strategic Cannon project bears fruit, the Navy would be wise to look into using it as a naval weapon, and the Navy should also resume its work on Prompt Global Strike now that the INF treaty is gone.

The Navy should also let go of its long nervousness of automation, which may be the only way to keep things running with fewer personnel and at lower costs, and also let go of the cult of the pilot [the Air Force really needs this, but that's a separate post] and ship-driver, embracing drones for use above, on, and below, the sea.

The F-18 Super Hornet isn't bad, but it's not what the Navy should be buying when the focus is on a peer conflict. The F-35 should really be the sole focus of procurement efforts, even if it is more expensive.

Finally, the US needs to make a serious effort towards reviving domestic shipbuilding and a merchant fleet. The Jones Act doesn't work and needs to go. Instead, the US should focus on subsidies for shipbuilding, and funding newer and more innovative construction methods--which will both increase capacity and possibly bring acquisition prices down for the Navy as the US gets better at building ships in general.

8. Conclusion

The Navy is in deep trouble, but if we act quickly it might be salvageable. A poor culture continues to cause problems for the Navy and particularly certain components of it, like the SEALs. Aggressive retirements are needed, but also aggressive shipbuilding starting now. The US Navy, no matter what happens, is likely to face an extremely serious capability gap in the late 2020s through early 2030s, and this time is likely to be exceptionally dangerous--if I were China, that would be when I would make my move, after my shipbuilding program was largely complete but before the US Navy had recovered from their wave of retirements.

Also, if you're not in the US, and you're not in, say, China, you should be pushing for domestic naval expansions pronto, or supporting them, or whatever you can do on that front. The fall in American capabilities means that your navy might be expected to make up the gap pretty soon.

9. Citations

As always, much of it does include Wikipedia and my head. But that mostly covers relatively unimportant and easily verifiable stuff, historical, etc. and I've linked a lot of fancier articles here. I've also undoubtedly been influenced by more articles, and even Reddit threads, in my views on the US Navy's problems, but I can't link everything.

Sam LeGrone, Paying the Price: The Hidden Cost of the Fat Leonard Investigation
Washington Post: Prostitutes, Vacations, and Cash: The Navy Officials Fat Leonard Took Down
ProPublica: Years of Warnings, Then Death And Disaster
Dan Lamothe, ‘Supreme courage’: U.S. airman John Chapman posthumously awarded the Medal of Honor
Alex Ward, Navy SEAL platoon sent home from Iraq over rape allegation and drinking while deployed
Todd South, Leaked documents provide details of Green Beret's death involving Navy SEALs and Marine Raiders
David B Larter, Once again, the US Navy looks to scrap its largest combatants to save money
Ben Werner, Navy Considers Reversing Course on Arleigh Burke-Class Life Extension
Tyler Rogoway, The Navy's Rationale For Not Reactivating Perry Class Frigates Doesn't Float
James Homes, The US Navy's Littoral Combat Ship: A Beautiful Disaster?
David B Larter, The US Navy, facing a shortfall, aims to ink an enormous attack sub contract next month
Megan Eckstein, Navy Finds Urgency In Staving Off Sub Shortfall Decades In The Making
Nick Childs, Relentless Pressure: UK and US SSBN procurement challenges
Nick Simeone, Sequester Degrades Navy, Marine Corps Readiness, Officials Say
Sydney Freeburg Jr, Pentagon To Retire USS Truman Early, Shrinking Carrier Fleet To 10
US Naval Institute, There's A Case For Diesels
Kyle Mizakmai, Should The US Navy Buy Diesels?
Megan Eckstein, Navy Report: Submarine Industrial Base Can Maintain 2-Attack Boat Construction Rate, Bolstering Lawmakers’ Plans
submitted by AmericanNewt8 to neoliberal [link] [comments]

2020.08.21 23:06 Quirky-Motor EXTENSIVE two-part write up. The murder of Laci Peterson- is there really reasonable doubt? The end of the prosecution case and defense's case. Part 2 of 2. Please read part 1 first for the prosecution case and background.

Other info used by the prosecution
What Laci was wearing when she went missing is somewhat of a mystery. Laci was found in tan maternity capris and a maternity bra. Her sister Amy, the last person who saw Laci conclusively, said she was wearing tan maternity capris, a floral blouse, and dress shoes when she saw Laci on the evening of the 23rd. Those clothes were found in the home during the search warrant. The blouse was in the hamper and the pants were in the hanging in the closet. Laci was found in very similar pants to the ones she was wearing on the 23rd, she may have had two pairs of the same pants. She was not found in a white shirt or black pants like Scott and neighbors claimed she as wearing. This was the outfit on Laci’s missing poster.
Scott refused to get Laci’s dental records for Modesto PD for weeks. He made excuses such as he didn’t know the address or couldn’t remember which dentist she went to. When police got the records, it showed that Scott and Laci went to the same dentist.
Scott never inventoried Laci’s things. When he discovered she was missing he never looked to see if she took her purse, cell phone, or coat with her on her walk.
At the home an open bottle of ranch dressing was on the counter on the night of the 24th. When asked Scott said he didn’t like ranch dressing and that it was for Laci’s pizza, which they ate the night before.
The Rochas wanted to retrieve some of Laci’s things such as mementos and Laci’s diary from the Peterson home, but Scott would not comply. Scott replied by getting a security system and Lee said the Rochas could not have these things because they were “Scott’s property.” Scott called the security company for his house and made sure the company knew “no Rochas” was his policy. Sharon later broke into the house to get these things- no charges were filed against the Rochas.
Scott tried to sell he and Laci’s home only three weeks after Laci went missing. He asked realtors to keep the story out of the press and wanted the house sold as is, completely furnished, with everything in it. Despite this he still would not give the Rochas Laci’s things such as her wedding dress, diary, or décor from the home.
There has been much debate over whether or not Scott wanted to have a baby or not and his behavior shows both a doting father and a bachelor playboy, depending on who you ask. At one-point Scott was talking to Anne Marie Rocha, Brent’s wife when he told her that he “was hoping for infertility” in the middle of Laci’s struggle to get pregnant. She thought it was a weird joke. On a home video of a holiday, Scott has to hold a baby for a few minutes and says “well this isn’t very fun” Laci says, “this is the only time you’ll see him do that (hold a baby)” and laughs. Scott told Amber Frey that he was so adamant about not having a child he wanted to get a vasectomy. Adversely, others have mentioned that Scott did want a baby. He painted Conner’s nursery and when Laci was trying to conceive, he got a Viagra prescription to make sure they would be able to have sex when she was ovulating.
In January 2003, Sharon Rocha called Scott to inform him that in a Jan. search of the bay searchers did not find Laci, only an anchor. Scott seems to whistle in relief. The conversation was so unsettling it was played for the jury.
Throughout the investigation Scott never participated in any public events for his wife. He refused to talk at vigils, on the news, or even get his photograph taken by local reporter Ted Rowlands. This was surprising to Rowlands as most missing people get very little press and when they do loved ones typically jump at the opportunity to spread the word about their missing relatives. Eventually, Scott contacted Gloria Gomez and gave a total of four interviews. In these interviews Scott said things like "I loved Laci" past tense and other statements which made him look bad to the public.
In January det. Grogan asked Scott again if he had had any affairs. Scott said no and Grogan produced a picture of Scott and Amber. Scott peered at the photo for a while and then responded, “Is that supposed to be me?”
In early January, when Laci had been missing for three weeks, Scott called dish network and added the Playboy channel to his subscription. Four days later he canceled the channel and instead added the TENXtsy channel, a hardcore porn channel instead which cost I believe an extra $12.99 monthly. This was for the TV in the living room. He canceled the channel on February 18th 2003, the day a search warrant was to be executed in his home. He told the dish network he was cancelling because he was moving abroad. One documentary claims that the police bought the subscription to frame Scott. Like many other tidbits in this story alone it doesn’t mean much but it shows how Scott was behaving as if his wife was not coming home.
Before his arrest Scott was staying with his half-sister Anne Bird in San Diego. While there Scott’s came on to Anne’s babysitter and made her mixed drinks, he called flirtinis. Jackie Peterson also said to the babysitter “I hope Scott can meet a nice girl like you.” The behavior of both Scott and Jackie was so outrageous and inappropriate the babysitter never came back.
Scott had two debit cards. One was linked to a PayPal account that Laci did not know about. He used this account to buy things for his various girlfriends.
Scott bought Ayiana, Amber’s daughter a pop-up book for Christmas. This book was purchased for Conner by Scott’s sister and given to Laci at Conner’s baby shower.
There were some rumors in this case that Laci had previously also had an affair with a man who worked at her gym. These rumors were unable to be verified by either the prosecution or the defense and no evidence to support this theory was ever found.
When patrol officers first entered the house, they noticed the defense attorney ad was open in the phone book on the kitchen counter. Later tests showed that the phone book naturally opened to several different ads because of how the pages were designed. This ad was one of those pages.
On Dec. 25th Lee Peterson made sure that Scott had an attorney, and was no longer speaking to anyone within the police department. This made some think that Lee was suspicious of his son from the beginning. Others have said that Lee was simply being proactive.
By February police told Laci’s family that they had cleared all of Laci’s family members… with the exclusion of Scott.
Chris Pixley and Richard Cole are two journalists who are always interviewed in documentaries about the case. Both men stayed with the Petersons and were planning on helping the Petersons write a book about the case after Scott was exonerated. Both men attended the trial on family passes.>
Laci’s family supported Scott for the first few weeks of the investigation.
After the testimony of over 100 prosecution witnesses, the Defense’s presented this case
Laci was alive and well on the morning of the 24th when Scott left for work and she met with foul play outside her home that morning. There were a variety of theories pushed forward.
  1. One was that Laci was accosted when she confronted the men robbing the Medina house across the street at approximately 11:40 am on Christmas eve. This is corroborated by a witness, Diane Jackson, who saw a van in the area at that time.
  2. Another was she was attacked in the park by either a sex offender or because of her nice jewelry.
  3. The third was that Laci was abducted by a family in a brown van who used her for some type of Satanic ritual.
Mark Geragos, Scott’s million-dollar celebrity attorney said in his opening statement that he would produce witnesses who saw Laci walking that morning, witnesses who saw Scott’s empty boat, and a witness who saw a pregnant woman being pushed into a van (a man named Tom Harshman), but none of these witnesses were produced at trial.
Timeline and theories
Early on in the case the defense scored major points by showing the jury that it was likely Laci was alive on Christmas eve, which was contrary to the prosecution who tried to show that Laci died on the evening of the 23rd. The defense showed this by demonstrating that Scott watched Martha Stewart that morning, and because Scott described Laci wearing clothes witnesses saw her in that day, white shirt and black pants. They also pointed to the fact that the dog was found with a leash on and that Laci’s curling iron was out on the counter. The computer evidence such as the online shopping on the computer that morning added to this theory. Geragos also told the jury that the prosecution could not answer how Laci was murdered, when she murdered, or where she was murdered with any detail at all. All of these things made the prosecution look like bumbling idiots and the jury was impressed.
Geragos also showed that Modesto PD had not interviewed all area sex offenders in an effort to show reasonable doubt. Brocchini explained that he did not interview all sex offenders because some were so elderly, but the damage was done. In another prosecution guffaw, it was revealed that not all witnesses who saw Laci that morning were formally interviewed by the police. Modesto PD claimed that it was impossible to interview every person, but that mistake was another piece in the puzzle that showed that perhaps, the police had tunnel vision in this case.
Geragos also tried to display that the men who robbed the Medina house were good suspects. The Medinas who lived on Covena Ave. left their home at 10:32 am on Christmas eve and did not return until the afternoon of the 26th when they discovered they had been robbed. Assuming that the robbery happened on the 24th and not the 25th or 26th like the robbers later claimed, it is believed the burglary happened at about 11:40 am, after the Medinas left for the Christmas holiday. This time is corroborated by a neighbor named Diane Jackson who saw three “dark skinned but not African American” men behind a van in front of the Medinas’ home at this time. Police put out a reward for information and got a break within days.
Steven Todd and Donald Pearce were arrested for the robbery on January 2nd 2003 after trying to sell some valuables from the Medina’s home. When apprehended the first words out of Steven Todd’s mouth was “I didn’t have anything to do with the pregnant girl.” The defense has always reasoned that the police should have pursued this exclamation, but they didn’t. Both men pleaded guilty to the robbery but claimed it happened Christmas day or early on the 26th, not on the 24th. Modesto PD asserted that they cleared these men as they believed the robbery happened later, after Laci was already missing. The defense and Scott’s family believe the burglary took place on the 24th and the criminals lied about the date to distance themselves from Laci’s disappearance.
This theory was somewhat strengthened by the statement of Russell Graybill, the Petersons’ mailman. Graybill testified that when he delivered a package to the Peterson’s home between 10:35 and 10:50 am. McKenzie did not bark at him. Graybill testified at trial that McKenzie normally barked at him but he didn’t bark on Christmas eve. This was shown to “prove” that Laci was walking him at that time.
Scott supporters have touted two other pieces of evidence to prove this theory. The first piece of the evidence in this story involved the fact that in January a woman who knew the burglars pawned a Croton watch similar to the one Laci had and was presumably wearing. The problem with the watch “evidence” lies in the pawn ticket. The pawned watch is not listed as having diamonds embedded into it like Laci’s did, casting doubt onto this idea that the watch was Laci’s. The second piece of evidence is much more compelling. From,
“Yet another concerning tip came from a Lt. Aponte who worked in a California prison. He called Modesto Police to report a monitored phone conversation that one of their inmates had with his brother, who lived in Modesto. The brother told the inmate that Laci had confronted the burglars who were robbing the house directly across the street from where she lived. That house was, in fact, robbed the day Laci went missing. This conversation was recorded by the prison. Not only has the Modesto Police Department never handed over any follow up on the tip from Lt. Aponte, the tape has been lost.” This is a thought-provoking piece of evidence, but I am not sure it proves anything conclusively. ​
The problems with the “Laci confronted the burglars” theory are numerous. The timeline would go something like this. Laci leashes up McKenzie who gets out and wanders in the street until found by Karen Servas at 10:18 am. Servas puts McKenzie away and then later Laci walks McKenzie through the park where she is seen by witnesses. Laci returns home, puts McKenzie away (but keeps the leash on) and takes off her shoes. She either changes clothes or later the robbers re-dress her. Then shoeless, Laci at 8 months pregnant waddles across the street and confronts either 2 or 3 male burglars without even her dog for protection. (PS the men are breaking into the home in the middle of the day). The men kill her, rob the house, change Laci into a new outfit, only a maternity bra and tan capris, and dump her in the ocean ninety miles away EXACTLY where Scott Peterson was fishing. It is also important to note that the defense did not call any witnesses who could bolster this theory except Graybill.
Another possible theory floated by Scott supporters and the defense was the idea that Laci was kidnapped while in the park. One witness, Diana Campos, who worked at a hospital that abuts the park (only three blocks from the Peterson house) remembers seeing a pregnant woman walking a Golden Retriever in the park at 10:30 am on Christmas eve. The woman was struggling to control the dog, who was barking incessantly. A man in a beanie apparently yelled at the woman “Shut that f*cking dog up!”
The problem with this theory is that both the Modesto PD and Scott’s attorneys interviewed this woman and chose to NOT call her to testify at trial. I believe if the lead was credible, the woman would have testified for the defense. Another issue is the timeline and the details of the sighting. For this sighting to work we have to ignore Karen Servas’ testimony. If this woman in the park was Laci, she must have gotten McKenzie from the yard after McKenzie escaped then walked to the park where she encountered someone who wanted to harm her. This person then would have had to return Laci’s shoes to the house, re dressed her, put McKenzie in the backyard and then dump her body in the ocean ninety miles away EXACTLY where Scott Peterson was fishing.
A third possibility was mostly pushed by Matt Dalton, an attorney who worked on Scott’s case but was fired before trial. Geragos kicked Dalton off the case because Dalton was obsessed with the idea that a satanic cult kidnapped Laci and another woman, Evelyn Hernandez. I think Geragos did not want this to be mentioned at trial and focused on other angles, but this still needs to be discussed. As mentioned above a woman was raped in Modesto in the week before Laci’s disappearance. The victim called a crisis line and reported that she had been raped by a group of people in a brown van and that the assault was part of a Satanic ritual. The abductors then told the woman that they were going to commit a Christmas murder that she would “read about in the papers.” The police found the people and van in question and processed the brown van for evidence, surprisingly no evidence of any crime was found in the van. When the police were done with the vehicle, Geragos bought the van, but he never found anything or used the van at trial- leading spectators to believe that the van held no evidentiary value.
Other proof for this theory is mostly found in Dalton’s book about the case. Matt Dalton first dreamed up this theory when went to a bar in Modesto one night where he interviewed some young locals about the goings on in Modesto. After seeing some people in skull t-shirts playing Dungeons and Dragons, Dalton asked about cult activity. The people told him that Modesto had Satanists, including a weird family who lived in a brown van. Dalton then learned that Dec. 24th is a holy day in the Satanic calendar and thus he extrapolated that Satanists did sacrifices on this day. He also discovered that May 1st, the day Evelyn was last seen was also a Satanic holiday. He soon became obsessed with this idea that Laci was abducted for a ritualistic purpose. Once Laci’s body was found Matt Dalton walked along the beach where he found some weird paintings on rocks and determined this was where rituals were taking place. (The paintings ended up being a strange art installation by a group called The Bulb.) He also found a police report that someone had reported finding a bucket of organs on the beach, but this has never been independently verified. Dalton surmised that these were Laci’s organs as she was found mostly skeletonized and had very few organs left.
Dalton is famous for connecting Laci’s case to the case of Evelyn Hernandez. This piece of evidence is talked about online extensively and is used to show that pregnant women were going missing and being found headless in San Francisco bay. While it is a strange coincidence, what documentaries and Pro Scott pundits never tell you is that Evelyn’s case has a prime suspect and it is not a serial killer or a Satanist family, it is Evelyn’s boyfriend, Herman Aguilera. This man is presumed to have killed Evelyn when she was only one week from giving birth, on May 1st 2002. As friends and family later discovered Evelyn was Herman’s “other woman.” Evelyn did not know her boyfriend was married. According to Aguilera’s family Herman did not want to deal with a pregnant mistress or want another child. Evelyn was last seen at a gas station frequented by Herman. Tragically, Evelyn’s son Alexis age 5, and her full-term baby boy, Fernando disappeared with her and have never been found.
The problem with this satanic angle is that it is far-fetched and does not explain most of the evidence. If Laci was abducted, where? Was she walking down the street in the mid-morning when some Satan worshippers happened to drive by and abduct her, put the dog in the yard, put her shoes in the house, changed her clothes and then dumped her body in ocean just where Scott Peterson was fishing? And what about Evelyn? Were these same people driving by as she and her son went to a gas station near Aguilera’s home in the middle of the afternoon? As I said this theory doesn’t hold water, but it important to explore.
Rush to judgement
Another thing focused on heavily by the defense was the idea that the Modesto PD “rushed to judgement” and wanted to nail Scott from the beginning. The defense asserted that this began with officer Evers saying that home was “suspicious” at 6 pm to his superior. Geragos and team asserted that this was improper and created tunnel vision in the department.
The Modesto police has always held that they simply followed the evidence and focused on the most likely suspect, Scott. After all it was not just Evers who thought the scene was suspicious. It was Evers, Spurlock, other patrol officers, Brocchini, Laci’s friends, Amy Rocha, Sergeant Duerfeldt, neighbor Karen Servas and others. If the Modesto PD wanted to frame someone, as sad as it is, they could have framed the Medina burglars and no one would have batted an eye. But they didn’t.
Other evidence used by the defense
Laci sightings
Approximately 12 people called the MPD to report seeing a woman who matched Laci’s description walking a dog on the morning of the 24th within one mile of the Peterson home. The prosecution called four women to the stand who were dog walkers who lived in the vicinity of the Peterson home at the time of the disappearance to account for some of these sightings. Most people saw Laci or someone who resembled her in black leggings and a white top, the same outfit she was in on her missing posters. However, when she was found she was wearing tan maternity capri pants and a maternity bra only. According to the Petersons, nine of these witnesses were never interviewed by a detective. What they don’t tell you is that a patrol officer and the DA’s investigators did some of the interviews. Nevertheless, not all people who called in with witness sightings were interviewed which helped the defense. Let’s look at these witnesses who we know about.
The people interviewed in the documentary The Murder of Laci Peterson were apparent “witnesses” who were never interviewed by the police and were not called at trial. Why? Because when Geragos interviewed them he found them to be unreliable, confused, or just wrong. Homer Maldonado claimed to have seen Laci walking the dog three times…during times she was proven to be elsewhere. Maldonado also refused to be interview by police. Because of this he was not called. Vivian Mitchell was another witness who claimed she saw Laci walking the dog on Dec. 24th. She then specified she knew exactly the time because she saw Laci during the football game on TV, but there were no football games on TV on the 24th. Vivian was also 80 years old and her husband was 84. Her husband Bill told police he did not remember ever seeing Laci. Mike Chiavetta remembered seeing a woman walking a Golden Retriever in La Loma park on the most likely 24th but said that it was a bright sunny day and the park was filled with people. It was misty and overcast on the 24th although the 23rd was bright and sunny. Scott supporters will have you believe that Laci was abducted right after the Chiavetta sighting even though Chiavetta claims the park was filled with people that day. Also, Chiavetta never reported he saw Laci, he saw a woman in a white shirt walking a Golden Retriever. When asked if she was pregnant, he said “I don’t know.” Tom Harshman is the man who saw a pregnant woman pushed into a van on the 24th of December, however police documentation says this was not reported until the 28th. In between 2 and 4 pm, he saw a woman in a red shirt and black pants urinating against a fence. There was a man standing over her and she looked scared. Then he saw a hand reach out of a van and pull the woman into the van. The tip was not investigated by the Modesto police department because they circumstance, location, and clothing did not fit. Either way Geragos interviewed many of the witness and didn’t call any of them. He said specifically he would call Harshman, but he didn’t.
Conner’s live birth and condition of the bodies
One thing that is brought up often by the defense is information brought forth by their expert that Conner was alive for one week following Laci’s disappearance. The defense believed Conner was born alive and died at a different date, or that Laci and Conner were alive after Laci was abducted. They also like to talk about twine, or tape that was wrapped around Conner’s body. Laci’s body also had trace amounts of caffeine present even though Laci gave up caffeine during her pregnancy.
Laci and Conner were found in the same area but separately on different days. Laci was badly decomposed; barnacles were on her bones and most of her organs except parts of her uterus were gone. There was a large hole in her womb from decomposition. Conner was somewhat decomposed but he was fully intact. The medical examiner thought this was because he was protected inside of Laci until her uterus decomposed expelling him into the bay. The medical examiner could find no cause of death for Laci and ruled that Conner died due to his mother’s death at approximately 33 weeks gestation. Conner seemed to be inside of Laci until shortly before he was found. The medical examiner explained to the jury that Conner most likely floated out of his mother’s abdomen due to gasses building up in her body. Additionally, his umbilical cord was torn, not cut or clamped and he had no injuries of any kind. He was not even bruised. Further, Laci’s cervix was closed indicating she had not given birth recently. The ME also explained that there was 28 cm worth of tape around Conner’s torso, head, and shoulders. It is not a nice neat bow but rather a tangled length of tape or twine. To me it actually looks like the remains of a plastic shopping bag.
The defense has always argued that this twine was wrapped around his body on purpose by someone, although they cannot explain the function of the twine. Picture here- (PS this is from a website called Scott is Innocent just fair warning). They also cannot explain how Conner died as he was not even bruised. On cross examination the ME admitted that it was “possible” Conner was born alive. He also admitted it was possible he had lived longer than his mother. He could not conclusively rule out those things even though they were improbable. The defense saw this as a win and brought in their own expert to testify.
Dr. March, the defense expert is not a medical examiner or a forensic pathologist; he is fertility doctor who helps couples get pregnant. Using the same methods as the ME, which involves using ultrasound pictures and measuring the baby’s femur, Dr. March determined that Conner was 33 weeks gestation, BUT he also decided that when Laci went missing, she was only 32 weeks pregnant meaning she had survived a whole week after her disappearance. How did Dr. March know this? Dr. March pushed Laci’s conception date forward six days because “women always talk about these things.” Dr. March heard that Laci attended a baby shower for a friend on June 8th and did not tell her friends that she was pregnant. Because of this he surmised that Laci must have learned about her pregnancy on June 9th meaning her conception date was the last week of May. This was the evidence used to prove Conner was alive until the end of December.
Not surprisingly March was destroyed on cross examination. He admitted he did not know about decomposition or autopsies and was not an expert in those fields. He also admitted he really had no way to know when Laci got pregnant and he was just guessing from her behavior when she got pregnant. At one point he even said during cross “Cut me some slack!” when they were grilling him. By the end of his examination he was saying “I’m sorry” and “I really don’t know” To most questions. He was not a good witness and his blunders were some of the biggest in the trial.
The defense always held that the missing concrete in Scott’s warehouse was used to repair the driveway and not used to make anchors for Laci’s body. The prosecution brought a petrographer to the stand who testified that the cement was not the same in the driveway as it was in the anchors- they had different chemical compositions. The defense also brought an expert to the stand who testified that the concrete samples weren’t the same…but they were very similar to one another. Gebler the defense expert testified that the driveway sample could have been different because it picked up debris already on the driveway.
Boat evidence
The final evidence that is brought up by the defense was an experiment conducted by Geragos’ investigators. They bought a boat similar to Scott’s and filmed someone trying to throw a 100 lbs. object off the boat. The experiment was meant to show that the boat was too small and throwing a person off the side would capsize a boat. At trial an expert fisherman testified that in order to throw a body off a boat that size you had to do it from the back of the boat, not the side. Nevertheless, Geragos wanted his video to be admitted at trial, but it was not.
The critical thing to note here is that this video was never meant to be admitted into evidence, it was a media stunt. Geragos sent this video to the media and then placed a similar boat two blocks from the court house and invited people to see how small it was. According to a book written by the jury after the trial, Geragos did this stunt to try to distract, confuse, or accidentally bias the jury in hopes of getting a mistrial. It did not work and the trial went on. The boat also backfired on Geragos as it became a shrine to Laci and baby Conner. Here’s the defense’s video
Amber was the aggressor
One thing that Scott’s apologists will often bring up is the fact that Scott wasn't really in love with Frey and that Amber was the “aggressor” in that relationship. Some people, like Matt Dalton have said things like “Scott wouldn’t leave Laci for Amber. Laci was way more attractive!” (yes, he really made that claim). They try to show that Amber aggressively pursued Scott even when he was trying to distance himself from her. They believe that Scott’s lies to Amber such as “I will be in Maine for Christmas” were his attempts to ditch her. They also make a fuss because on Dec. 26th Amber called Scott several times on the same day which proves that she was obsessed with him. Whether or not this is the case it doesn't really matter because Scott is a grown man who could have broken it off with Amber or even ghosted her at any point but he didn't. He chose to call Amber after Laci was missing, he continued to speak to Amber, and he continued seeing Amber in person. Further, he kept lying to her hoping she would not find out about his missing pregnant wife.
Whether Amber was Scott’s soul mate, a one-night stand, or a girl he took out to lunch a few times an affair is an affair. Scott did not have to be completely and utterly in love was Amber in order for that to be a motive for him to kill his wife. In my completely amateur opinion, Scott wasn't in love with Amber at all. Scott was in love with being a player who could do whatever he wanted and wife and child was getting in the way of that lifestyle.
Scott’s history of non-violence
One interesting thing that the defense uncovered was Scott’s history of non-violence. Going through school records the defense was able to show that Scott had absolutely no history of violence. Not even a school yard fist fight. Most spouse killers have a history of domestic violence, but Scott did not. In fact, most people remember Scott as being passive in his marriage, not angry or violent.
Scott would not plead down
In “Presumed Guilty” Dalton explains that he questioned Scott extensively and asked him if something happened, such as an accident or a domestic violence situation that lead to Laci’s death. Dalton thought that if this was the case Scott could plead to a lesser charge. Scott was adamant this was not the case and insisted he had nothing to do with Laci’s demise. Scott insisted on pleading not guilty.
Brocchini’s bad testimony
One thing that aided the defense in the trial was the testimony of Al Brocchini. Brocchini made several mistakes on the stand and the defense showed that four specific parts of Brocchini’s testimony were lies. Brocchini lied about one witness who he said he contacted. He also lied (or was confused) about the times certain tips came in to the tip line. Finally, he chose not to include one witnesses (Ms. O’Donnell) statement in his reports. This damaged Brocchini’s testimony and was a win for the defense. When asked about this the jury said that this was not a good look for the state, but it wasn’t Brocchini’s testimony that convinced them that Scott was guilty, it was detective Grogan’s. And of course, Scott’s own behavior and movements that day.
Five women who were pregnant went missing
Another piece of evidence spread around by Scott apologists is the fact that five pregnant women, seven if you include Evelyn and Laci, went missing in the time around Laci’s disappearance. Additionally, it was touted that these women all went missing from Northern California and area where 15 million people reside. Five women would be an interesting coincidence if they went missing from Modesto, or even the same county, but this is not the case.
Pregnant woman heckled
In one documentary on the case a pregnant woman in Modesto claimed that on Christmas eve, 2002 when she was heavily pregnant, she was opening her shop at about 11:00 am when she was “heckled” by two men. The incident made her uncomfortable enough that she got a male co-worker who told the men to get lost. While this is an interesting piece of information it doesn’t prove anything.
Not enough time to commit the murders
Some of Scott’s supporters will tell you that Scott had no time to commit these murders because his whereabouts were known for all of the day on Christmas eve. First, this assumes Laci was killed during Scott’s timeline which obviously wasn’t going account for this. Second, it does not explore the possibility that Scott killed his wife before 8:30am on the 24th when Scott said he got up for the day.
Incompetent legal counsel
There are also some people who are concerned that Mark Geragos was incompetent as Scott’s attorney. Mark Geragos has represented Michael Jackson, Winona Ryder, Jussie Smolet, Robert Clinton, Chris Brown and many other prominent clients. In general, he argues down and makes sure his clients never land in jail but rather get counseling, probation, and community service. Geragos may be cocky, but he is far from incompetent.
Tried in the court of public opinion
You cannot talk about this case without mentioning that Scott Peterson was tried in the court of public opinion. There is no denying this and an unbiased jury was hard to compile. But if history has shown us anything it is that good attorneys can keep hated clients (OJ Simpson, Casey Anthony) out of jail. Scott’s representation was the best of the best and he was still convicted.
The jury and the rush to judgment angle
The jury actually thought about this in deliberations pretty extensively. This idea of rush to judgement was woven through the opening statement as well as Geragos’ performance in the early weeks of the trial. In those first few weeks most jurors agreed that acquittal was on the horizon. Not only did the Modesto police seem to have tunnel vision, they made some extensive mistakes, and Geragos presented information in a much more interesting and compelling way. He made big promises to show Scott as “stone cold innocent” and vowed to bring witnesses who would break the case wide open. But after months of testimony and no compelling witnesses the jury had to convict because it wasn’t about who was more entertaining to watch. It was about the fact that 1) Scott was fishing in the vicinity of Laci’s body. 2) Scott washed himself and his clothes before even calling his missing wife. 3) Scott was the last person to see Laci alive. 4) And that Scott had a means, motive, and opportunity like no one else did. Although the jury were rubbed the wrong way by Scott’s demeanor, Scott was not convicted because the jury simply thought he seemed like he was lying or had bad character.
Random Info
Who’s is supporting Scott?
Scott’s supporters are mainly women most notably his sister Susan Caudillo, and his sister in law Janey Peterson. They run several websites and blogs about the case and call themselves the SPA (Scott Peterson Appeal) team. Their websites are linked below. They have explanations for everything Scott did in this case and spew their beliefs all over the internet.
The SPA team has pushed forward other suspects besides the ones discussed at trial. Laci’s family are some of their favorite suspects. Ron Grantski, Brent Rocha, Dennis Rocha, Amber Frey, and Amy Rocha have all been mentioned as possible suspects. For example, the SPA team throws suspicion on Dennis Rocha as Dennis had “deep-seated hatred” towards Scott. How do they know this? During his victim impact statement at the end of the trial Dennis said to Scott “You always thought you were better than us.” Apparently, this shows that Dennis had the motive to kill Laci or something. I don’t know their explanations are bizarre.
Why is Scott getting an appeal and maybe a new trial?
Scott is getting an appeal and maybe a new trial for two reasons. First, Scott gets a series of appeals because he was sentenced to death. It is routine for death row inmates to get a variety of appeals before their execution. The reason that Scott is possibly getting a new trial is because of issues with the jury in the first trial. As discussed above the case was incredibly hard to get a jury for and the appeals attorney is asking for a new trial due to juror misconduct, unreliable sniffer dog evidence, and issues with dismissed jurors. Scott is NOT getting a new trial due to new evidence, poor legal representation, or corruption within the police department or DAs office.
There are two major misconceptions I have seen mentioned online and I wanted to correct them here before the end of this piece. The first misconception that was spread by the media was that the Petersons’ house smelled like bleach when patrol officers first arrived. This was not true; patrol officers never reported this. The second misconception is that Diane Jackson saw the Medina home being robbed on the 24th. This is not true. Diane saw three men by a van who she thought were landscapers. She only reported this information when she learned of Laci’s disappearance later that day. Diane Jackson never saw the men robbing the house or carrying a safe to the van.
These books are a good place to start:
Deadly game by Catherine Crier
Presumed guilty by Matt Dalton
We the Jury by the members of the jury
Blood Brother by Anne Bird
For Laci by Sharon Rocha
The Murder of Laci Peterson by Pete Dove
Because most books are anti-Scott, I also read all information on these pro Scott websites in order to be thorough.
An interesting Psychology today article-
If you want some laughs check out the Scott is Innocent Facebook page. There are a lot of people who think that Laci was abducted for a ritual purpose and that it has something to do with something called Pizza gate and Hollywood elites who cruise around northern CA abducting Hispanic looking women and cutting out their babies. (No, I am not kidding.)
If you want some thought provoking information about the Peterson family read this reddit post-
After researching, reading, and exploring this case I think it is safe to say that Scott Peterson is guilty of his wife’s murder and that the doubt in this is case is not reasonable doubt at all. With that being said I do not think the media allowed for Scott to get an unbiased jury and I do think the hate spewed towards Scott’s family by the public was cruel and inappropriate, like the one bystander outside the court house who yelled at Jackie “I hope they fry your son!” However, I think if Scott gets a new trial, which he deserves, the outcome will likely be the same. What do you think, is there really doubt in the Laci Peterson case?
submitted by Quirky-Motor to UnresolvedMysteries [link] [comments]

2020.08.21 21:09 hunter049 [M4A as F] DC's Gotham-setting Heroes and Villains

I’m over 18 and looking to play with people 18 or over. All characters will be 18 or over.
The city of Gotham. Home to a lot of people that don't quite fit the mold of an average person, from psychopaths wanting to see the world tear itself apart, eco-terrorists willing to revert the world to prehistoric eras for the Earth's sake, thieves able to weave through human security and top-end systems alike, and bat-emblazoned vigilantes fighting relentlessly to save everyone from everything and then some. Many stories are waiting to happen, relationships ready to form or evolve or break apart or all of the above, heroes on the edge of falling and villains on the brink of redemption if either get but a tiny bit of a push...
Hi there! I've roleplayed for nearly a decade both in original settings and in fandom, so I'm experienced and literate. As noted above, I'm looking for a partner willing to play female characters to roleplay within DC's Gotham city setting (not the live action show, the actual comic book city and all that it's comprised of and such). I primarily use Reddit PMs to start off a conversation, but from there I'm glad to stay there, shift onto Discord, or potentially even move onto Kik if that's what's most comfortable for you.
Some characters I'm considering playing as would be Jason Todd/Red Hood, Bruce Wayne/Batman, or Dick Grayson/Nightwing. Some characters you might consider playing as are Harley Quinn, Poison Ivy, Talia al Ghul, Cassandra Cain, Stephanie Brown, or Selina Kyle, but it's a biiiiig universe out there so we can discuss. I'm not as versed with the whole DC universe as some superfans out there but I've done a good amount of research over the past couple months while enjoying the pairings and fluff out there. I hope my partner gives me at least a couple sentences per response and we can certainly go further than that if preferred. It's just a baseline.
I'm sure we can have a lot of fun if we talk and collaborate, so I'm eager to see some orange envelopes!
submitted by hunter049 to RoleplayPartnerSearch [link] [comments]

2020.08.17 17:07 READMYSHIT The Creep Dive Episode Guide

Date Title Cassie Sophie Jen Sidebars and guest stars Creep of the Week
1 12/12/2018 Canoe Believe It?? Alan Rickman never read Harry Potter John Darwin faked his own death in a canoeing accident Seamus on ket with Mary McAleese (Twitter thread)
2 12/12/2018 GP-OH My God who is SHE Samantha Azzopardi pays a visit to Ireland. One of many as she scammed her way around the world An outtake from This is Going to Hurt: Secret Diaries of a Junior Doctor. Woman eats placenta (or blood clots)
3 12/12/2018 A Tale Too Tragic Tania Head, woman who claimed to be a survivor of the attacks on the World Trade Center on September 11 The Juggalos (Insane Clown Posse) Christians in disguise Reddit Guy meets the Devil. Black Mercedes Cassie reveals she used to be Born Again Christian. Jen's personal Angel, Happy Acres
4 11/01/2019 The American Dream or The American Peen What Ever Happened To: Lorena and John Wayne Bobbit. (Wife cuts off husband's dick after he raped her) Swiss cheese Pervert. Man would like a cheesey wank
5 11/01/2019 11 Lies and Counting Warrior Eli. Epic catfish story of a supermom who turned out to be teenager, Emily Dear Sinead O'Connor and Prince had a pillow fight. Prince takes it too far Jen first reveals she was a catfish/troll
6 11/01/2019 A 17 Year Old Mystery Solved by Sleuths Mystery of Lyle Stevik's suicide solved by DNA Doe Testing Ray's Death Documentary (admission of murder). Lady of the Dunes
7 25/01/2019 A Story Blown Wildy Out of Proportion Jimi Heselden segways into the afterlife. Rebba Burger maimed and killed from a whipped cream thing Lambo. Weird radio book review, hosted by Gay Byrne in which Gery Ryan allegedly kills a lamb A man fashions a flying saucer with helium balloons and sends his son flying off for attention
8 01/02/2019 An Unholy Hypocrite, The Dungarvan Angel of Death Travis the Troubled Teen David Matheson, former gay conversion therapist, comes out as gay Fr Michael Kennedy fakes an AIDS epidemic in Waterford. Gets the attention of Princess Diana Travis, the chimp and Creep Dive mascot (a classic!)
9 09/02/2019 The Greatest Writer that Never Was James Frey, A Million Little Pieces (fake memoir) Story of JT LeRoy (racoon penis) Dan Mallory (fake memoir)
10 15/02/2019 The Randy Mr. Hands How Joe Manuella Found Love, Robert De Niro impersonator Mr. Hands! Guy gets killed from bottoming a horse Ellen Coyne and Cassie become friends via Twitter
11 22/02/2019 The Curious Case of Crack Addict Jimmy(part 1) The Girl Who Predicted Her Own Death Tickling endurance competitions funded my some omnipotent millionaire (who obviously has a fetish)
12 22/02/2019 The Curious Case of Crack Addict Jimmy (part 2) That time the Washington Post had a Pulitzer briefly. Janet Cooke and the 8 year old heroin addict
13 01/03/2019 The Fine Line Between Exoneration and Execution The story of Cameron Todd Willingham (a innocent man sentenced to death) Pissing and menstrating in the Stuart era (not Victorian, Jen)
14 08/03/2019 The MSN Murder Mystery Momo: Online Suicide Game MSN Murder. Girl kill herself after online bullying, turns out to be a neighbourhood mom Elizabeth and Theranos
15 15/03/2019 Who Let the Cat Out The Noid, the Domino's mascot that led to a murder Mary Bale: Cat in the Wheelie Bin Topsy the Elephant: Tesla vs Edison
16 22/03/2019 Oyster Man, A Salacious Sausage Fest and A Con Confidence (Creep Live #1) Nicholas Barclay AKA Frédéric Bourdin (missing child imposter) Armin Meiwes, German cannibal Oyster Man (Dublin creep!)
17 01/04/2019 A Haunted Hormonal Teen, A Slender Bender, A Mother Love to Death (Creep Live #2) Dee Dee Blanchard murder by her daughter, seemingly incapacitated, Gypsy Rose. Enfield Haunting, poltergeist in a North London council house Slenderman possee
18 05/04/2019 Who is Timmothy Pitzen?? Disappearance and reappearance (???) of Timmoth Pitzen Christine Chubbuck, suicide on live TV Ford has a horn for Edison
19 12/04/2019 The Beautiful Lie Florida Man, pancake guy Belle Gibson, noted scammer Coco the Gorilla: artist, photographer and communicator
20 21/04/2019 There's a Catfish in the Water Lincoln Lewis catfish, Lydia Abdelmalek The most awkward book club of all time Girl with no vainga gets impreganted from a knife
21 27/04/2019 A Sasquatch, A Tinder Date With a Cannibal and The Life and Ruin of Anna Nicole Smith The Anna Nicole Smith Story Sasquatch Origin Story
22 04/05/2019 Friends From The College Cult Larry Ray: Creepy Dad Cult Whatever Happened to Baby Tyler?
23 11/05/2019 A Love As Deep As The Sea, A Shared Twinsanity and Better The Catfish You Know? Sabina & Ursula: Murderous Swedish Twins Suicide of Megan Meier Some people really love dolphins
24 18/05/2019 The Cat’s Out of The Bag for The Internet’s Maddest Man A Catfish Love Triangle (that ends in murder) The Luka Magnotta Story Jeremy Kyle
25 27/05/2019 The Secret Russian ‘Super Army’ and A Fertility Doctor Who Took Things Into His Own Hands Dr. Cline, fertility doctor who takes matters into his own hands Russian science experiment to create super humans (humanzee) Belle Gibson update (ep. 19)
26 01/06/2019 Larry and The Lawnchair of Dreams The eponymous Larry, an instant classic creep (that is not creepy at all) Moby
27 07/06/2019 The World’s Worst Baby Snatcher and The Ill-Prepared Cannibal Another Catfish Love Triangle and Baby Heist Isa Sagawa: A Cannibal in Paris
28 15/06/2019 Why You Should Never Let Granny Do The Ouija Board Story of Anna Delvy, epic swindler Ouija Board Murder Whale dick tentacle and the guy who honours a dead murderer (Twitter Thread)
29 21/06/2019 A Dead Man, A Cipher, a Mystery Somerton Man: Mystery Australian Man and an Undeciphered Code Ariel Castro kidnappings Delivery Man Haunts Cabin Groom kids on brides dress
30 28/06/2019 It’s Never Plain Sailing The Disappearance of Brian Swanson (into another dimension?) #blueball A shark buffet Juliane Koepcke, the sole survivor of a plane crash that left her stranded in the Amazon Rainforest Boris Johnson
31 07/07/2019 The Lost Family, The Last Eunuch and the Lust for the High Life Tromp Family Road Trip. Australian family collectively lose their mind A Philanthropic Couple with a Secret in the Attic Sun Yaoting; the last Eunuch of China.
32 11/07/2019 A Trio of Clones, Coercion and Courtship A shitty first-date The McDonald's-Nude Heist The phenomenon of a group of self cloning crayfish
33 19/07/2019 Brain-Eating Zombies, The Boy Who Tried to Blow Up Bjork and a Beary Bad Idea Story of Björk's would-be assassin Timothy Treadwell: Bear Enthusiast Furries and Brain eating zombie fungus Grunting man in a gimp suit
34 27/07/2019 A Priceless Love Affair and Something of a Pickle Debbie Montgomery Johnson get defrauded millions in an online dating scam Peeing and pooping in space. Creepy nudes escalates quick (to murder)
35 04/08/2019 Jen’s Solo Ghost Story the tale of Dear David, a creepy child ghost who has been haunting the hallways of illustrator Adam Ellis Horse Girl
36 11/08/2019 When a Dream Life Turns Into a Weird and Creepy Nightmare Dream House goes sour with letters from an ominous writer called, The Watcher Mystery Stripper Jen has the inside scoop on Area 51 Scout's arrival! Woof Canadian Serial Killers
37 18/08/2019 The Hero Who Didn't Know His Name and a Real Life Dr. WHO?? Story of Jean-Claude Romand: Murderer and Imposter Creep Dine With Me: Megan and Hazel. The story of Steven Stayner
38 01/09/2019 Don't Bookmark Your Murder Tips and a Real Life Mission Impossible How to not get away with murder (Daniel Brophy) Personal creep with creepy neighbour and a never ending gift exchange A missionary who get murdered by the Sentinelese
39 09/09/2019 A Twist in The Tale, The Devil Down Under and A Wild Slide A Catfish With a Happy Ending Mysterious Death of Phoebe Handsjuk Deal the Devil Downunder,Story of Michael Atkins and Matthew Leveson
40 13/09/2019 Move Over Travis, There’s a Bad Badger in Town and The Sad Tale of The Sorry Cannibals Caroline Calloway content! Alive: The reluctant cannibals The antics of Stoffel the honey badger
41 20/09/2019 British Fairies, Irish Con Artists and Asian Angels Cassie's Personal Creep and Misadventure in Berlin (featuring Moe) An Irish Kidnapping The Cottingley Fairy Hoax
42 28/09/2019 When a loving Christian family inadvertently adopt a 22 year old sociopath with violent tendencies The tale of Natalia Grace, a Ukrainian Orphan with dwarfism #childdeception Helen Bailey: Author who penned her own death Jacob Barnett, Child Prodigy
43 06/10/2019 The Girl...Who Laughed...As A Man Got Sewn Into The Body of a Horse Story of Nathan Carman and a Sunken Boat A Runaway Bride Countess Elizabeth Báthory, World worst female serial killer? Carl Beach, Richard Madely
44 15/10/2019 What Happens When You Exorcise a Mild Mannered Michael? (Creep Live #3) Ireland's Own Bermuda Triangle An exorcism gone wrong Goose on the Loose! A goose named Andy
45 21/10/2019 A Guest Ghost Story and The Haunted Spots of Dublin Dutch Family in a Basement (and assorted ghost stories) Creep Dine With Me: Fainche. A Dublin 8 Haunting
46 26/10/2019 The Tragedy of the Triplets A tragic tale of triplets and a social experiment Haunted Nazi Dummy
47 31/10/2019 A Catfish Convict, Dawn of The Ed and a Goat Gets Giddy for Piss - It’s our Halloween Spooktacular! Rape Ads, Fake Sonograms, and a Catfisher’s Web of Lies Ed Gein, his mother and the inspiration for Psycho A goat with a penchant for piss (human piss)
48 12/11/2019 An Amuse Bouche of Creep Catch Ups AND The Human Baby Zoo Update on Belle Gibson (ep. 19) Canadian Quintuplets (Human Baby Zoo) Update on Ukrainian Orphan (ep. 42) T.I. (obsessed with daughter's hymen)
49 17/11/2019 The Greatest No-Show-Man and the Mighty Meaty Murderer Threatin, metal band on world tour (with no audience but great hair) Joe Metheny: a mighty meaty murder #serialkiller Donegal Creeps caught climbing a hospital to ouija
50 25/11/2019 Oh No! Where Did Moe Go? Moe Davis: Another chimp fiasco. Travis 2.0 (ep. 8)
51 03/12/2019 A Haunted Galway Baby, a Mystery Man in Sligo and The Spine Tingling Story of the Sleepless Russians (Creep Live #4) Peter Bergmann, a mystery man in Sligo reminiscent of Somerton Man (ep. 29) #blueball Haunted Galway baby #haunted Russian sleep deprivation experiment (this is pretty harrowing) Harry meets the Creeps for the first time Dick Dicker: Unabomber meets Mr. Hands
52 06/12/2019 A Life Heavy on Lies, Light on Lols Jennifer Pan, a Vietnamese-Canadian teen kills her parents (well one of them) Dave, the randy duck
53 17/12/2019 The Woman Who Accidentally Solved Her Own Mystery Disappearance Netty Nance accidently solves her own kidnapping (spoiler: it was her own "mother") Carlos Mariotti and a novel idea to save his mangled hand (spoiler: it doesn't work) Public Universal Friend. First recorded case of non-binary person? Mommy blogger swindles Shauna Sex Síopa!
54 05/01/2020 The Cannibal Cop and A January Assortment of Creeps Cassie tricks a girl into think she's going to Disney Gilberto Valle, the cannibal cop, caught via chat room #cannibal People used to post their kids around! Jeffrey Epstein. German ladies who set a zoo ablaze and killed 20 primates
55 10/01/2020 Too Many Mothers, Too Much Motherly Love and A Small Town Scandal with Massive Consequences Creep Live #5) Bobby Dunbar went missing but when he reappeared to mothers came forward to claim Barbara Daly Baekeland gets murdered (and fucked?) by her son #murder #incest The mysterious Circleville letters #murder #blueball Jen gets send a video of a man fucking a chicken Tiny Indonesian man convicted of the most amount if rapes
56 17/01/2020 Three Cheers for Murder Dying killing to be popular. Cheer leader murder! Karla Homolka, Canada's only female serial killer (this was just an off the cuff creep) One of our very own creepettes has their dog fucked by some local scoundrel :( Cork Christmas Party Shenanigans!
57 25/01/2020 Your Mother Sucks Creep In Hell True Stories behind the production of The Exorcist Jen creeps her own parasite which she definitely didn't get in Centra Parcs Terry McMahon goes on a tirade by his feminist daughter
58 31/01/2020 You Can't Make A Dick Out Of The American Penal System Steven Jay Russell, amazing story of the man who escaped from prison multiple times Andrea Mara; the man who faked his MIL out the car window, armchair sleuths and just how dire your Google search history gets when you kill fictional people for a living Belle Gibson update! She's Muslim now (ep. 19)
31/01/2020 The Creep Hive #1 Jen helps her housemate pee in New Zealand Tampon Girl!!
59 07/02/2020 Who’s side are you on? Story of Ursula Hermann: the German equivalent of Madeleine McCann. Epic creep Sophie admits she ate a raw rasher thinking it was parma ham Some people have non-verbal thought (mini Twitter thread) Graham Linehan (Glinner)
07/02/2020 The Creep Hive #2: The Casualties of The Swan The Sur-jury, The Swan and other horrific reality shows
60 14/02/2020 A Prince and a Perfect Murder Chris Benoit Canadian wrestler. Double murder suicide Shawna from Sex Siopa to share a big juicy salacious royal affair. A lot of creeps reported their mothers fed them raw sausages
15/02/2020 The Creep Hive #3: Schofe's done a runner Cassie discusses her sexuality and everyone cries "Showgirls came out at a very key point in my life" Phillip Schofield literally does a runner
61 21/02/2020 The world’s most badass backpacker, Ireland’s biggest ever manhunt and hotdog handjobs (Creep Live #6) Brendan O'Donnell: Ireland's Biggest Manhunt #serialkiller Kari Ferrell: Hipster Grifter. Gets employed by Vice and exposed Salt Creek Kidnapping. Backpackers take revenge #violence All dogs and the Dublin guy faked an abduction of an elderly person
22/02/2020 The Creep Hive #4: Never trust a Murphy Bed Dead tired, people who've died in Murphy beds!
62 28/02/2020 And it was all cum and paper mâché (Creep Live #7) Gerard John: some local prisoners pose as a young woman and blackmail and fragile young man. Alex Malarkey goes into a coma after a car accident. When he wakes he claims to have met Jesus in Heaven... Man struggles to keeping his wife suitably embalmed Jen discusses laying eggs Katie Hopkins getting the CUNT award
01/03/2020 The Creep Hive #5: Hope Springs Terminal Duffy was kidnapped :( Psychologist hides camera on women with Munchausen Jen says I brought poppers to a live show but it was Cool Swan. Twitter thread about guys pissing in their mouths Sarah, the creep transition year student tells us about Hope Ybarra, Munchausen mom Carlow Judicial System. 73 year old mad jailed for ramming car parked on path
63 07/03/2020 Hike Life Nightmare and The OG Love is Blind Sun Myung Moon and the Church of Unification. It's the Moonies! A Russian Misadventure. 9 hikers die mysteriously in the northern Ural mountains Youtuber faked his girlfriend's death. 21 year old Stephanie impersonates her granny (after she's murdered)
07/03/2020 The Creep Hive #6: Joint custody Cassie meets LeBron James Joint Custody. John Wood mummifies his own leg. The ultimate creep craft.
64 13/03/2020 The OG Disease Spreader: It's Typhoid Mary Sherry Pie turns out to be a super creep (in a really bad way) and has now caused an editing nightmare for producers. Typhoid Mary, famed asymptomatic carrier Putin brings in a new law so he can rule for forever.
13/03/2020 The Creep Hive #7: CAVERN OF PUSS Cassie worked in a residential care home. Patient double dosed a suppository which "activated" as Cassie helped her into a wheel chair. PERI-RECTAL ABSCESS. Arguably one of the most disgusting creeps of all time
65 20/03/2020 A mad story about a mad (cow) disease, a smooth criminal and an underground mission with hilarious consequences Dan Cooper Hijacked a Boeing 727 aircraft in the northwest of the US; jumps out with thousands of dollars and is never seen again Mad Cow Disease and Doctor Daniel Carleton Gajdusek who goes to "help" Papua New Guinea and turns out ot be a paedophile School boys finds a secret warren under their school... A misadventure ensues
20/03/2020 Creep Live Online #1: A Town of Ticking Teenagers, Serial Turder and Mayhem at The Spa Mystery illness takes over town in North New York Sophie's top 3 getting stuck in toilet stories Woman gets naked and lost in spa
27/03/2020 Creep Live Online #2: The most haunted creep of the year
66 29/03/2020 Crafting conspiracies, cult clans and the game show killer Big Crafting is actually a Russian Propaganda Machine Rodney Alcala serial rapist, killer and gameshow contestant Taina Licciardo-Toivola: Annoying Aryian Cult family on YouTube
67 07/04/2020 The long (penis) and short (life) of your favourite covid meme and the mighty Michael that would not die Michael Malloy, the sturdy Irish fella in New York who proved to be un-murderable (well, almost Wardy Joubert, everyones favourite (well-endowed) naked covid meme (who's dead) Harry offically appointed alpha creep!
68 12/04/2020 More Tiger King, a YouTube Doll Debacle and Did Sophie Find D.B. Cooper? Inspired by recent haunted dolls on the hive, Cassie dives into internet sensation, Venus Angelic The Stars of Tiger King: An Epilogue
69 19/04/2020 Snitches get stitches and when internet comments destroy lives Would you provide an alibi for a loved one? Trevor Hardy - The Beast of Manchester (and his brother) The Inception of FaceBook Commentary: tangled history of internet smear campaign Kelsey Grammar maybe into pegging "It's very unfortunate for the mens. Their G-spot is up their ass hole and they're just going to have to get over it." -Cassie Delaney Eamon Holmes (5G) and the gardaí (posting photos of sun bathers)
70 26/04/2020 In The Shadow of the Truth Lies the Statue of Liberty Bling Water! Your water is dead, you fools Lisa helps Sophie with a follow up to Molly from Sophie's previous creep The Mandela Effect. Are we all in hell/purgatory/multiple dimensions/simulated world This episode has more filler than actual creeps but was no less enjoyable. Sophie, my handle is @Harry_birdboy. Cassie, I'll hug you! Gemma O'Doherty
71 06/05/2020 Shipman the shit man Crimes that happen in the virtual world that cross over into reality and suicide pact community killer Harold Shipman, world's most prolific (and boring) serial killer Gemma O'Doherty again (but she gets owned by Dublin airport on Twitter)
72 12/05/2020 Beta Theta Pi? More like Beta Theta Die and the Glow Up with Deadly Consequences Beta Theta Pi, Penn State University. Hazing ends in death :( Sophie loves horror. Tells the real life story behind Scream. (Impromtu creep!) Radium Girls!
73 19/05/2020 Walk like a reincarnated Egyptian also that time a squirrel ate some guys nuts Dorothy Eady, the reincarnation of an Egyptian priestess.Cassie is mean to her mother Creep Confectionary is now a thing. Sophie seeds the idea for a Toast Podcast. Sophie presents a gaggle of gals cat-fishing some terrorists Man gets balls eaten by squirrels Jen and Sophie want to host their own Most Haunted. Cassie protests, as usual Camilla and Prince Charles talk dirty
74 26/05/2020 Don't anger a Karen, canal creeps and the parents who put the kid in kidnapping Shannon Matthews, Karen Matthews has her own daughter kidnappped while she plays Xbox Belle Gibson update! She is now Oromo (an Ethiopian ethnic minority). Katherine Knight and her human pelt Riding in a tent on the canal
75 02/06/2020 Freezin’ people ain’t easy, the genuinely geriatric mother and the biggest creeps of the week ever The YouTubers that rehomed their son The oldest woman in the world to give birth (oyster woman). 40 year old stone foetus! Jen finally gets to tell her cryogenics story. Multple strands See Cassie
76 09/06/2020 No name, No luggage, No labels, No answers 1.) In a room at the Oslo Plaza Hotel, a young, elegant woman is found dead, with a gun shot wound to the head. Why did she check in under a false name? Why are the labels removed from her clothes? 2) Death in Ice Valley The gals are reunited!
77 16/06/2020 Guilt or grief? The dark story of Casey Anthony Via Reddit/Sarah. Creepy MSN guy and possibly related swindler Casey
78 23/06/2020 Slumber Murders and The OG Moby Dick Sleep killers The OG Moby Dick
25/06/2020 Creep Hive Sophie's Cock Along! Denis Nilsen:ScottishSerial Killer (and middle child)
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2020.08.14 02:00 TopOfTheBot Top Posts and Comments of the Day

Top of the Day for 14/08/2020

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Most Upvoted Posts of the Day

First Place
brain ads
posted by DigitalSword on /memes
Click here to view the post. ● 145,258 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 04:49:32 UTC
Second Place
TIL a fan drove three hours to deliver rapper, Boozie Badazz, a much needed dosage of insulin. She refused to accept payment and instead asked for just a photo. On her way home she stopped at a store, bought a scratch off ticket, and won $10,000.
posted by RarelyAquatic on /todayilearned
Click here to view the post. ● 138,352 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 00:24:53 UTC
Third Place
AOC challenges Trump to release his college transcript after he called her a 'poor student' on Fox News 'You release your college transcript, I’ll release mine, and we’ll see who was the better student. Loser has to fund the Post Office,' New York congresswoman tweets
posted by ohnoh18 on /politics
Click here to view the post. ● 130,493 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 14:45:08 UTC
Fourth Place
don't leave home without it
posted by tteeggeerr on /memes
Click here to view the post. ● 130,123 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 13:13:10 UTC
Fifth Place
Favorite martial art partner
posted by Mainaksonu on /funny
Click here to view the post. ● 127,147 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 12:13:54 UTC

Most Downvoted Posts of the Day

This section is currently being worked on.

Most Upvoted Comments of the Day

IMPORTANT NOTE: This section may be not be accurate as it is under development. Currently this only gets the most upvoted top-level comments from the most upvoted posts today.
First Place
What an awesome coincidence. It's nice when people do things without expectation of reward.
posted by Luckywithtime on /todayilearned
Click here to view the post. ● 25,219 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 00:57:07 UTC
Second Place
AOC better be careful or Trump will challenge her to a dementia test.
posted by coffee_badger on /politics
Click here to view the post. ● 17,120 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 14:48:39 UTC
Third Place
Loser has to fund the post office. Perfection.
posted by WakandaNowAndThen on /politics
Click here to view the post. ● 16,799 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 14:47:04 UTC
Fourth Place
He's threatened to sue any school he attended if his transcripts are released
posted by 10sharks on /politics
Click here to view the post. ● 10,752 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 14:52:12 UTC
Fifth Place
In case you missed it, AOC's second grade teacher tweeted her and she tweeted back. It was pretty touching. `*You've got this. Remember all those poems we recited together in 2nd grade? It was prep for this moment. You've got this.* ~ mjacobs` AOC responded: `*Ms. Jacobs! Is that you?! Yes, I do remember the poems we recited in second grade! You prepared me perfectly for this moment. Thank you for teaching me, encouraging my growth, and believing in me as a child.*`
posted by M00n on /politics
Click here to view the post. ● 10,236 Upvotes ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 14:51:58 UTC

Most Downvoted Comments of the Day

This section is currently being worked on.

Most Gilded Posts of the Day

IMPORTANT NOTE: This section may be not be accurate as it is under development.
First Place
Hey Reddit! My name is Paolo Cattaneo. 5 years ago I quit my job, sold everything I had and embarked in a trip around the world on a motorcycle. Rode for almost 185000 km (115k mi). Still going! Here to answer question about self sustained living on the road and long distance solo travelling. AmA!
posted by paolo_0 on /IAmA
Click here to view the post. ● 4,294 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 13:33:37 UTC
Second Place
The Thing About Corpses
posted by hyperobscura on /shortscarystories
Click here to view the post. ● 1,823 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 10:20:14 UTC
Third Place
My mama and papa became US Citizens today!
posted by Yudysseus on /pics
Click here to view the post. ● 120,290 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 01:38:46 UTC
Fourth Place
I'm the Marine who stood at attention for 3 hours in 100 degree heat in full dress uniform until I nearly passed out from heat exhaustion and dehydration. Do me the honor of reading this message I've spent the last two days preparing.
posted by TRexLovesPancakes on /nextfuckinglevel
Click here to view the post. ● 160,784 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 12/06/2020 at 13:09:49 UTC
Fifth Place
Avatar Intro but it's RuneScape
posted by Lilsmokey___ on /2007scape
Click here to view the post. ● 16,207 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 13:00:47 UTC

Most Gilded Comments of the Day

IMPORTANT NOTE: This section may be not be accurate as it is under development.
First Place
This spike in crime is no doubt due in part to the quarantine and economic stress related to it. However, there is another aspect that people don't like talking about. That is the \"Ferguson effect\". When police in general are under sweeping suspicion of racism due to highly publicized anecdotes about police shootings of black people, they tend to back off of proactive policing, not wanting to risk their jobs or reputations. There is [some social science]( data [which suggests]( that [police do not shoot blacks]( at rates [disproportionate to their]( involvement in violent crime, and in fact, sometimes less. `Harvard Professor Roland Fryer [just released a (non-peer reviewed) study]( providing evidence that the Ferguson effect is real. What he found is that in 22 cases of police department investigations triggered by the weight of evidence showing that the department was poorly run, crime was actually reduced, and an average of 61 lives were saved in the next 24 months.` However, in five cases of departments investigated after a single high-profile incident (Freddie Gray, Laquan McDonald, Timothy Thomas, Tyisha Miller, and Michael Brown), crime went up, and an average of 179 more lives were lost in the next 24 months. `Police also unjustly kill white people, but those don't fit into a narrative about American racism. I agree that police are heavy-handed in general, and that police brutality is a problem. However, we tend to assume that racial animus is involved when black people are killed, even when there is little actual evidence of that. I also know for a fact that there are racist officers. However, how can we reduce racial tension and tackle problems when we rely on a narrative that is shown to be false and exaggerated?` TL;DR - Police back off due to suspicion of racism over anecdotes, criminals are emboldened.
posted by Dr_Talon on /news
Click here to view the post. ● 478 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 16:13:31 UTC
Second Place
Granted. For awhile there are jokes in the media before the novelty dies down and the various associated fetishes evolve. People seem mostly happier as the general state of everyone's sex lives improves. You notice your mom has started buying a lot of fresh produce and sugary foods, but whatever, your parents have needs too and the new spring in their step is cute. `Your father is extra happy, as you might imagine. His new extra-wide grin quickly becomes a personality staple. The Christmas gifts get better and he doubles down on his woodworking hobby. With confidence he does something he'd always want to do: quit his job and open a bakery. Jack's Frost quickly becomes the talk of the town. You and your siblings and cousins begin working for the company. Family wealth comes easy, and times are good. All because your father is getting more frequent bjs.` Over time, the extended family moves to your town to take up lucrative positions within the supply chain. As your prestige builds, you begin to feel powerful. Your father, who spent long days with your mother or in front of the oven, mostly lets his family run the business while he bakes cupcakes for the entire family. Each cupcake is decorated to the liking of each family member. The time your father spends baking makes him a beloved yet diminishing family figure. As he ages, your siblings begin vying for his baking empire. `Finally comes the night everyone has anticipated: your father plans to announce his successor at his retirement party. This catered event features a buffet of your father's finest work. A part of you wonders, once he's gone, if the brand's creativity will depart with him. Blackmail and backstabbing are rampant among your siblings. It's clear the announcement will rock the family and rent it apart. The plotting is put on hold and your siblings' plastic smiles snap into place as your father steps up to the podium. He clears his throat and says \"the conniving den of weasels that is my family shut me out of the business I built on my hands and knees using these two hands. The business will be dissolved by the feds because the secret flavoring ingredient is my jizz. Yes, my glazes and jellies and custards are entirely jizz-based.\" Then he runs out of the house, grabs hold of a rope ladder descending from a helicopter, and is never heard from again. The money he didn't drain from the business is not nearly enough for the needed legal expenses. Those in your family that avoid prison become destitute, as your father has placed dozens of videos of your mother blowing him on the hard drives of your computer and all your extended family, linking them to his crimes. The cloud backups randomly play at inopportune times. You might have narrowly escaped prison, but you can describe your father's junk and have evaluated your mother's technique and enthusiasm. Your father accidentally invents an entirely new pornhub category called Spermy Todd, which annoys you because his name isn't Todd. It isn't Jack, either. It's Rod.` But at least everyone still has their flavored bjs.
posted by smexyporcupine on /TheMonkeysPaw
Click here to view the post. ● 14,205 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 05:50:06 UTC
Third Place
=== **[Link to the petition to UK parliament 'Condemn the Belarus Government for harassment and detention of its citizens'](** (Only British citizens or UK residents have the right to sign) == `After Elon Musk asked [how can he help Belarus]( belarusians came out with the banner [\"Маск падари ужо яму ракету\" (\"Musk gift him a rocket already\")]( (him - lukashenko)` **[Ambassadors of EU countries in Belarus came to lay flowers where protester was killed.](** `**Yesterday lukashenko called the protesters '[unemployed criminals](' all of whom needs to be inspected and 'given a job' (whatever that means), before that he called them 'sheep' and 'drug addicts' so lets have a look at who they really are:**` [Batman and Spiderman *drugging* protesting people on the streets]( `[Hundreds of *unemployed criminals* and *alcoholics* on the streets of Belarus.](` [Huge chain of *criminals* getting honked by *drug addicts* in their cars.]( `[Woman thanking young girls for coming out and showing solidarity.]( ` [Another group of *unemployed criminal* drivers honking in support of walking group of *drug addicts*.]( `[More *criminals*](` [Whole street with drivers out of their cars showing solidarity]( `[Some random *sheep* giving *drugs* masked as 'sweets' to women](` [More *drug addicts* on the streets of Belarus]( `[Another group of *obviously drugged* people came to the building of the government propagandic TV channel ОНТ chanting 'TRUTH! TRUTH! TRUTH!](` You can see hundreds of other photos and [videos of these *criminals*]( on telegram channels such as: `[NEXTA Live](` [Типичная Беларусь]( `[Выборы видишь?](` [Беларусь головного мозга]( `[TUT.BY новости](` 100% of the videos and photos you see on reddit from Belarus are taken from these sources (and like dozens of other channels but they all pretty much the same) `---` `**Now a list of videos of police brutality in Belarus**` [14 min video of Minsk (11.08.2020)]( Videos listed below are not just from Minsk but also from other cities, just to give you some understanding of the scale. Videos from today (13.08.2020): `[Somone caught the moment where policeman, hiding behind buses arechanging their regular uniforms to OMON (its the special forces that you see in almost all videos, black helmets masks, black vests and uniform) so they can anonymously beat and detain people](` [(no brutality) army forces passing by standing protesters]( `[People fight with police for detained protester](` [Police beating off mirros from honking passing by cars, one of the drivers, old man in a cap (according to the people who filmed) stopped and decided to have a talk about his broken mirror, he gets beaten up and dragged into a random passenger bus by a group of police, one of them proceeds to sit into the old mans car (the laugh you hear in the background throughout the video is sarcastic)]( `[a group of unmarked thugs in black with patrol policeman beating Yandex Taxi car. No context to the video.](` Videos from 11-12 august 2020: [People protesting from their homes]( `[Another example of exceptional police brutality, guy gets on his knees, getting kicked in the back from run up, people around sound outraged](` [Police storming into local store and aiming at people's windows]( `[Police detaining peacefully standing citizen, he tries to flee, gets beaten up, people go to help him escape](` [**This is a footage from someone's apartament where you can see how detained people are being basically held hostages in police stations, they lying close together on the asphalt, people around Belarus say they are getting brutally beaten and kicked and tortured in police stations (not seen in the video, just reports from other places\)**]( `[**Police brutally murdering \(no other word for it\) random man on the street, the man is crying.**]( ` [**Belarus police detains 15yo kid, to protect themselves from public outrage one of them threatens to pull the pin out of (flash?)grenade.**]( `**[NSFW visible injury]** [Random man gets shot for filming police brutality]( (man telling his wife not to run and keep calm, they are walking their dog)` [Police using unmarked vehicle crashes into random driver on the road and tries to detain him]( `[another angle](` [Police stops a car marked with red cross (volunteer medical aid) and detains everyone inside]( `[Police shooting someone](` [Police searching around the urban areas, outraged people yell from the balconies for them to go away, some of them shoot in the windows and lamp post]( `[Another random driver detaining, the car is trashed by police \(the reason for most detains is simple honking to support walking protesters on the streets\)](` [Another random drivers being detained you can see one of them being kicked]( `[Police beating random biker on the road](` [Random people being brutally beaten and arrested]( `[One of the many examples of police using ambulance vehicles \(ill try and find other cases but there are so many videos to search through it takes time to find everything\)](` [Journalists getting bullied, kicked and smacked, forcing to give their memory cards away]( (you can hear endless car honking, its random drivers support of the protests and outrage of police brutality) `[Police aiming at random people's windows while shooting someone on the ground](` [Police hiting random cars on the road]( `[Video has no comments from the uploader, but you can see police using unmarked vehicle detains a driver, shooting him inside his car](` [Some guy getting brutally beaten behind the gates by police, one of them behaves agressively towards the guy who is filming them, the guy says he is a journalist, policeman replies 'i don't fucking care who you are']( `[Woman peaceful march today in Minsk](` [Patrol police detains random group of bikers, one of them gets beaten up, immediate reaction of passing by drivers is heard in the background, people yell at the police and honk, one of the patrolers points a gun at someone (the one at the right at the end)]( `[Police shooting ambulance](` [Detained people being taken out outside of police station and beaten up]( `[People trying to take back detained protester with sticks and stones](` [People yelling 'shame! shame!' from their apartments all around the neighbourhood]( `[People yelling, booing and throwing stuff from their windows into the police who is chasing someone](` [Another random driver gets detained in the middle of the day]( `---` `**Please bare in mind there are A LOT more horrible things to show, i can't possible include everything in this comment and im just one man and it takes a lot of time to search through it all, downloading, reaploading to streamable and linking here so again, im linking the sources for these videos for people who are interested and want to see more, because 99% of it is not shared on reddit. For more info, videos, photos including a lot of footage of peaceful protests you can follow these telegram channels and just scroll and look, no need to know russian or belarusian, most of the posts don't need translations:**` [NEXTA Live]( `[Типичная Беларусь]( ` [Выборы видишь?]( `[Беларусь головного мозга](` [TUT.BY новости]( which also has [(youtube channel)]( ` These are the main sources of all the videos, there are hundreds and hundreds of them and it is really hard to link them all.`
posted by Gweenbleidd on /europe
Click here to view the post. ● 101 Upvotes ● 3 reward(s). ● 1 silver reward(s), 1 gold reward(s) and 1 platinum reward(s) ● Posted: 13/08/2020 at 10:35:23 UTC
Fourth Place
Cultural Reboot `Manchester United are on the right path despite what the media, the fans, the league table and the general public would have you believe. The term “Cultural Reboot” has been used by Ole Solskjaer since his appointment at the club - what does that actually mean? In football terms it simply means that the club needs to change the way it works and operates. If this term could be used for a small business it would be efficient to close the business short term, make all staff redundant, potentially rebrand and hire staff that would better suit the new image of itself. Of course, you cannot do that to a football club, not least the size of a club like Manchester United.` `So what does Solskjaer mean in his take on the term? It simply means that Manchester United in the last 6-years have spent big money, big wages on a merry-go-round list of previous manager demands all aimed towards immediate success - which hasn’t worked. It’s cost the club close to a billion pounds in player transfers, three failed managerial appointments all of which had the best intentions of taking Manchester United back to the top of the tree. In Solskjaer’ eyes, the fabric of what made Manchester United a dynasty and a world force has long been lost in amongst this expenditure.` `When he took over on a caretaker basis Utd went on an incredible run, some people put this down to a regular honeymoon period as most new appointments provide the data to back this up but in my view I think there’s a little more to it simply being a honeymoon period. The players ran further, hustled harder, competed in every area of the pitch and out-worked teams - this is Manchester United. I was fortunate enough to witness the change that sacked big Ron and appointed Sir, Alex. I saw the cultural reboot at the club which was the basis for long-standing success. Sir, Alex starting selling seasoned pros like Paul McGrath Jesper Olsen and Peter Barnes. Fergie starting investing in youth almost immediately, signing a young Ryan Giggs, David Beckham to early youth teams for development. Sir Alex wanted to mould the future of the club by teaching young players what it means to play for Utd and that they were the future provided they had 100% commitment to being a fabric of the club and over their years they learned that in order to make it here you had to work harder than everyone else, want it more. Sir Alex, culturally rebooted Manchester United from alcoholic journeymen to hungry, hard working leave everything on the pitch superstars which would filter through the next group of youth products and thus changing the ethos of the club resulting in sustained success.` Ole is in the process of culturally rebooting Manchester United in a very similar way to Sir Alex did. He’s removed the high earners, he’s refused bumper multi-year contracts to over-30’s and is bringing through whatever youth talent we currently have. Kids listen, they want to play and they’re easy to mould. Once you have their commitment to the cause you have longevity in that role, you don’t need to overpay in contracts and you have a role model for the next batch of youth 10-years down the line. `When Ole smiles into the camera at press conferences he means it. Why wouldn’t he be happy? He has very impressionable young players, he doesn’t have conflict from ageing players demanding immediate success or more money (There’s probably one left in this category that’s Pogba), his team is competing despite being so young and they’re running through walls for him and more importantly for the shirt on their backs. He can see what the next few years of this vision is and it’s the building blocks for sustained success in much the same vein as Sir Alex once did. Ole doesn’t want big time charlies in his squad (Paul Ince, David Beckham, Lee Sharpe / Lukaku, Sanchez, Pogba) he wants warriors and influencers (Roy Keane, Eric Cantona, Mark Hughes / Rashford, McTominay, Maguire).` We can all argue that the board aren’t supporting him and their incompetence (different argument) but I think Ole is having a big influence in this and is being extremely careful with his targets which is why you won’t see Edinson Cavani or any other big name that thinks they’re bigger than the club - you can dismiss these almost out of hand immediately. £30m for a 16-year-old who is best in class for age? Absolutely what Ole wants and what Sir Alex wanted before him. If you think of it this way then it’s not then surprising that we have been linked with virtually every young English player that is showing potential because this is all part of the cultural reboot that we needed. We have invested heavily in academy players recently which don’t get enough love around here because we’re desperate for first team investment. What we’re not realising is if we heavily invest and rush to compete and challenge right away then the culture will never change. `When you have the likes of Brandon Williams, Scott McTominay, Marcus Rashford, Fred, Wan-Bissaka, Maguire, Daniel James running through walls and through injuries for the shirt you have successfully changed the culture of the club. You do however need to supplement that ethos with fairy dust and luxury pieces - the ready made quality that you’re missing from a group that works harder than anyone else. Bruno Fernandes looks to be that type of player Ole has identified - not a big time charlie, works incredibly hard for a team he really doesn’t want to be a part of, especially since the training ground assault from their fans, modest wage and desperate to buy in to the new image of Manchester United - this is key. Way back during the ‘90’s and 2000’s you had to be a certain type of player to play for Man Utd. You didn’t just have to be good enough, you had to buy in to the culture and be prepared to work harder than anyone for your shirt, the club, the history and the fans.` We all love Patrice Evra and Rio Ferdinand because they bleed the club, even now - why is that? What is it about the club that makes them feel so strongly this way? They were bought to play for this club when the culture was set in stone, they bought into the ethos and the history of what it takes to be a Utd player, they lived it - it was their life - Manchester United was a way of life. The last 7-years we’ve lost that until Ole arrived. Rashford is living Man Utd, McTominay is living Man Utd and our transfer targets also need to live Man Utd. `This process cannot be rushed, unfortunately but it will ultimately reward itself with sustained success down the line which is always better than short term investment for short term and short-lived success. Ole Solskjaer is doing the right thing, he’s the right man to do it because he’s brave enough to do it just like Sir Alex was in 1986.` Stand by your manager, this one cares and he’s doing the right thing. The quality will come but like Ole says: “Will buy if the right ones become available”. ` Be patient - it’ll be worth it. Let’s get behind the boys and smash Burnley tonight.`
posted by diamondmines2 on /reddevils
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Fifth Place
Seriously. Light the beacons of Gondor. This is an absolutely unprecedented emergency. ` The President of the United States is intentionally sabotaging our own mailing system to improve his chances of re-election. Fuck Russian meddling, he's interfering with our electoral processes himself.`
posted by 2rio2 on /politics
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